Policy Impact Analysis - 117/S/73

Bill Overview

Title: American Security Drone Act of 2021

Description: This bill bans the procurement or use by the federal government of unmanned aircraft systems (UAS) that are manufactured or assembled by certain entities, including entities subject to influence or control by China, with exceptions. The ban includes associated elements that are required for the operator to operate safely and efficiently in the national airspace system. The Department of Homeland Security, the Department of Defense, and the Department of Justice are exempt from the restriction under specified circumstances. The bill sets forth further exemptions regarding the Federal Aviation Administration, the National Transportation Safety Board, and the National Oceanic Atmospheric Administration. Federal funds may not be used to procure certain UAS from a foreign entity, with exceptions. All executive agencies must account for existing inventories of UAS manufactured or assembled by a foreign entity in their personal property accounting systems. Inventory data related to UAS manufactured or assembled by a foreign entity may be tracked at a classified level. The Federal Acquisition Regulatory Council shall prescribe regulations or guidance to implement this bill's requirements pertaining to federal contracts. Government-issued purchase cards may not be used to procure any UAS from a foreign entity. The Office of Management and Budget shall (1) establish a government-wide policy for the procurement of UAS, taking into account information security; and (2) contract with a federally funded research and development center to study certain UAS-related issues.

Sponsors: Sen. Scott, Rick [R-FL]

Target Audience

Population: Individuals involved in the manufacturing, supplying, or operating unmanned aircraft systems

Estimated Size: 200000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

UAS Supplier Manager (Seattle, WA)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy threatens our supply chain and could potentially decrease sales drastically since many of our clients are federal agencies.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 6
Year 2 3 6
Year 3 3 6
Year 5 2 6
Year 10 2 6
Year 20 2 6

Drone Software Engineer (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 32 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The bill might stimulate more innovation in the domestic market as the demand for compliant software increases.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 8 7

Federal Government Procurement Officer (Houston, TX)

Age: 40 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This adds layers of complexity to procurement processes, but it also aligns with security protocols I'm supportive of.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

Drone Pilot for Surveying Company (Boston, MA)

Age: 29 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I worry about how quickly my company can find alternatives and whether this will affect my role.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 8
Year 2 6 8
Year 3 6 8
Year 5 6 8
Year 10 7 8
Year 20 8 8

Farmer using drones for crop monitoring (Rural Kansas)

Age: 55 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • If I have to replace my current UAS gear under this law, it might cost more than I'm ready to spend.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 5 5
Year 5 5 5
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 5 5

Policy Analyst (New York, NY)

Age: 38 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 9

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 2/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It's a necessary step for national security, although it doesn't come without implications for tech dependency.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 9 9
Year 2 9 9
Year 3 9 9
Year 5 9 9
Year 10 9 9
Year 20 9 9

Retired (Phoenix, AZ)

Age: 60 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Since I'm unaffected by federal regulations, this won't change my enjoyment of drones, but fewer options might hit the market.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

Student in Aerospace Engineering (Austin, TX)

Age: 23 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 9

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It's an opportunity to contribute to creating safer, domestic alternatives for the market.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 9 9
Year 2 9 9
Year 3 9 9
Year 5 10 9
Year 10 10 9
Year 20 9 9

UAS Foreign Sales Representative (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 46 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy significantly threatens my job since federal contracts make up a large segment of our sales.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 4 6
Year 3 3 6
Year 5 3 6
Year 10 2 6
Year 20 2 6

Domestic Drone Manufacturer (Detroit, MI)

Age: 50 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This could increase our market share domestically, as federal agencies will look to us to replace their existing fleet.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 9 8
Year 2 10 8
Year 3 10 8
Year 5 9 8
Year 10 10 8
Year 20 9 8

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $3500000 (Low: $3000000, High: $4000000)

Year 2: $2000000 (Low: $1800000, High: $2200000)

Year 3: $1500000 (Low: $1300000, High: $1700000)

Year 5: $1000000 (Low: $900000, High: $1100000)

Year 10: $500000 (Low: $400000, High: $600000)

Year 100: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Key Considerations