Policy Impact Analysis - 117/S/66

Bill Overview

Title: South Florida Clean Coastal Waters Act of 2021

Description: This bill addresses harmful algal blooms and hypoxia in the South Florida ecosystem. An algal bloom is a rapid growth of algae that may create toxic or hypoxic (severely low-oxygen) conditions that are harmful to humans, animals, aquatic ecosystems, and the economy. The Inter-Agency Task Force on Harmful Algal Blooms and Hypoxia must assess potential approaches to reduce harmful algal blooms and hypoxia in the ecosystem. The task force must also submit a plan, based on the assessment, for reducing, mitigating, and controlling harmful algal blooms and hypoxia in the region.

Sponsors: Sen. Rubio, Marco [R-FL]

Target Audience

Population: People living in or economically dependent on the South Florida ecosystem

Estimated Size: 7500000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Fisherman (Miami, FL)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The algal blooms have been a nightmare for my business, causing fish kills and making me lose income.
  • I hope the new policy will actually help reduce these occurrences.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 9 4
Year 20 9 3

Tourism Manager (Miami Beach, FL)

Age: 30 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Tourism depends on clean beaches; the algae issue has been affecting our tourist numbers.
  • The policy should attract more tourists by ensuring healthier waters.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 9 5
Year 20 8 5

Retired Teacher (Fort Lauderdale, FL)

Age: 65 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I've seen firsthand how these blooms can ruin a beautiful day out. Anything to improve the situation is welcome.
  • I am hopeful that the efforts will lead to cleaner, safer beaches.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 9 8
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 9 6
Year 20 9 5

Marine Biologist (Key West, FL)

Age: 22 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 9

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy is crucial for protecting the biodiversity that I've dedicated my career to studying.
  • Improving water conditions will have a big impact on marine life.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 9 9
Year 2 9 8
Year 3 9 8
Year 5 9 8
Year 10 10 7
Year 20 10 7

Diving Instructor (Key Largo, FL)

Age: 29 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Algal blooms can be dangerous for divers; reducing them would be a big relief.
  • Cleaner waters will help my business and ensure my students' safety.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 9 6
Year 5 9 6
Year 10 9 5
Year 20 9 4

Software Developer (Orlando, FL)

Age: 35 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 8.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I visit South Florida for its beaches, so cleaner water would enhance my vacation experience.
  • Though I don't live there, it's important that natural areas are protected.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 6

Environmental Lawyer (Naples, FL)

Age: 55 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I've been advocating for policies like this for years; finally seeing action gives me hope.
  • I will monitor how effectively the policy is enforced.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 8 4
Year 20 8 4

Real Estate Agent (Fort Myers, FL)

Age: 40 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Water quality significantly affects property values. Better water could boost the market.
  • This policy might make waterfront properties more desirable.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 8 5

Hotel Manager (Sarasota, FL)

Age: 50 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Past blooms have really hurt our business, leading to temporary closures.
  • Hoping this policy will stabilize the situation and help us avoid future disruptions.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 8 5
Year 5 8 4
Year 10 9 3
Year 20 9 3

Retired Cafeteria Worker (Tampa, FL)

Age: 60 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I've always valued fresh fish from local markets, but toxic blooms worry me.
  • Hopefully, the policy will make seafood safer and more abundant.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 8 5

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $15000000 (Low: $12000000, High: $18000000)

Year 2: $20000000 (Low: $17000000, High: $23000000)

Year 3: $25000000 (Low: $22000000, High: $28000000)

Year 5: $30000000 (Low: $27000000, High: $33000000)

Year 10: $35000000 (Low: $32000000, High: $38000000)

Year 100: $50000000 (Low: $47000000, High: $53000000)

Key Considerations