Policy Impact Analysis - 117/S/5353

Bill Overview

Title: Refugee Protection Act of 2022

Description: This bill modifies provisions related to asylum seekers and addresses related issues. For example, the bill (1) eliminates the statutory time limit for applying for asylum (currently one year after arriving in the United States), (2) establishes stateless protected status for individuals who are not considered a national by any country under that country’s law, and (3) requires the goal for refugee admissions for any given fiscal year to be no fewer than 125,000.

Sponsors: Sen. Leahy, Patrick J. [D-VT]

Target Audience

Population: Individuals worldwide seeking refugee status or asylum, or who are stateless

Estimated Size: 1250000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Tech industry employee (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 25 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The removal of the one-year limit for asylum application gives me relief; I missed the deadline but now can apply.
  • I am hopeful this policy will improve my stability and future prospects.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 5
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 7 5

Construction worker (Buffalo, NY)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 2/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Gaining stateless protected status providing assurance and rights makes a huge difference for me.
  • The policy might give me additional security in my employment and life.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 8 5

Small business owner (Dallas, TX)

Age: 30 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Increasing refugee admissions is a positive step—more people can have opportunities like I did.
  • The policy seems promising for those awaiting opportunities in more stable environments.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 6

NGO worker (Miami, FL)

Age: 28 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy may ease my organization’s challenges—we see many who need to apply after the one-year deadline.
  • I hope it brings much-needed clarity and support for the people I work with.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 8 6

Teacher (Fresno, CA)

Age: 50 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • While I support helping refugees, our schools need better support to accommodate increasing numbers.
  • The policy could have a downstream impact on educational resources if not managed well.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 7 8
Year 20 7 8

Retired (Portland, OR)

Age: 60 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I see the policy as a step forward, but I emphasize holistic integration for arrivals.
  • Volunteers like myself may need additional resources and training to support new policies effectively.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 9 7

University student (Phoenix, AZ)

Age: 22 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This makes studying and contributing to refugee policy more critical and timely.
  • There's potential for improved systemic support, but robust policies still need execution.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 6 6

Lawyer specializing in asylum cases (New York, NY)

Age: 38 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 2/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy changes could increase my caseload significantly, necessitating expanded legal support services.
  • It's a positive change overall, but stress on legal systems must be considered.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 7

Refugee and immigrant community leader (Atlanta, GA)

Age: 40 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Seeing more community members gain security is encouraging—but integration support must keep pace.
  • The policy gives hope but also requires substantial community effort to execute effectively.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 7

Healthcare professional (Chicago, IL)

Age: 55 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Healthcare systems need to manage increase responsibly to maintain quality care.
  • Policy must consider secondary effects like healthcare demands.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $4500000000 (Low: $4000000000, High: $5000000000)

Year 2: $4600000000 (Low: $4100000000, High: $5100000000)

Year 3: $4700000000 (Low: $4200000000, High: $5200000000)

Year 5: $4900000000 (Low: $4400000000, High: $5400000000)

Year 10: $5200000000 (Low: $4700000000, High: $5700000000)

Year 100: $8000000000 (Low: $7000000000, High: $9000000000)

Key Considerations