Policy Impact Analysis - 117/S/5316

Bill Overview

Title: Federal Clarity for Kratom Consumers Act

Description: This bill requires the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) to hold a hearing and establish a task force on the health and safety of products with kratom (an herbal substance that produces opioid- and stimulant-like effects). It also prohibits the FDA from regulating kratom products in a manner that is more restrictive as compared to regulations for food, dietary supplements, or dietary ingredients.

Sponsors: Sen. Lee, Mike [R-UT]

Target Audience

Population: People who consume kratom products

Estimated Size: 3000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Construction worker (Florida)

Age: 34 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I rely on kratom to manage my pain, and I'm worried about any changes that might make it harder to get.
  • I feel that a safety review could be beneficial if it doesn't restrict access.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 8 4
Year 20 7 3

Yoga instructor (California)

Age: 26 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I like using kratom because it's natural, but I want to know it's safe.
  • This policy seems like a good balance; it could make kratom safer without banning it.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 8 6

Entrepreneur (Texas)

Age: 40 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • As both a user and a seller, clarity on regulations is crucial.
  • This helps legitimate sellers and educates consumers, which is beneficial in the long run.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 9 5
Year 5 9 5
Year 10 10 4
Year 20 9 3

Retired nurse (New York)

Age: 51 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 6.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I support more research and regulation; it reassures me about the product's safety.
  • However, I hope it remains available and not overly restricted.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 4
Year 3 7 4
Year 5 7 4
Year 10 8 3
Year 20 7 3

College student (Oregon)

Age: 19 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I think kratom should be safe and legal, much like other supplements used on campus.
  • I trust that this policy could inform us better without removing access.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 6 4
Year 10 6 4
Year 20 6 4

Software developer (Illinois)

Age: 29 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 13/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I use kratom as part of my productivity routine, and changes in supply could be problematic.
  • I support regulation that prioritizes consumer safety and informs us better.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 7 4

Holistic health coach (Nevada)

Age: 55 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 7.0 years

Commonness: 11/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy could empower and educate consumers, which I appreciate as a practitioner.
  • However, I am concerned about any undue limitations on access for those who benefit.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 9 4
Year 20 7 4

Stay-at-home parent (Georgia)

Age: 31 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 6.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Clarity on safety and regulations would reduce stigma, which is a plus for me.
  • Hope it doesn't become too expensive or inaccessible.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 7 4
Year 3 7 4
Year 5 8 4
Year 10 8 3
Year 20 8 3

Veteran (Ohio)

Age: 60 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • As a veteran, I want my health choices respected and safe.
  • I am hopeful that this policy will positively affect my ability to choose kratom safely.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 4
Year 2 6 4
Year 3 7 3
Year 5 7 3
Year 10 8 3
Year 20 8 2

Environmental scientist (Arizona)

Age: 39 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 4.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I value the consistency and reliability of my supplements.
  • The policy's structured review might enhance trust while supporting sustainable practices.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 8 5

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $5000000 (Low: $4000000, High: $6000000)

Year 2: $3000000 (Low: $2000000, High: $4000000)

Year 3: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 5: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 10: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 100: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Key Considerations