Policy Impact Analysis - 117/S/5299

Bill Overview

Title: Gun Violence Prevention and Community Safety Act of 2022

Description: This bill makes various changes to the federal framework governing the sale, transfer, and possession of firearms and ammunition. Among other changes, the bill generally requires individuals to obtain a license to purchase, acquire, or possess a firearm or ammunition; raises the minimum age—from 18 years to 21 years—to purchase firearms and ammunition; establishes new background check requirements for firearm transfers between private parties; creates a statutory process for a family or household member to petition a court for an extreme risk protection order to remove firearms from an individual who poses a risk of committing violence; restricts the import, sale, manufacture, transfer, or possession of semiautomatic assault weapons and large capacity ammunition feeding devices; restricts the manufacture, sale, transfer, purchase, or receipt of ghost guns (i.e., guns without serial numbers); requires federally licensed gun dealers to submit and annually certify compliance with a security plan to detect and deter firearm theft; removes limitations on the civil liability of gun manufacturers; allows the Consumer Product Safety Commission to issue safety standards for firearms and firearm components; establishes a community violence intervention grant program; and promotes research on firearms safety and gun violence prevention.

Sponsors: Sen. Warren, Elizabeth [D-MA]

Target Audience

Population: People interacting with the firearm market

Estimated Size: 80000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

gun dealer (Texas)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I understand the need for safety, but the increased compliance and security measures will add costs to my business that could make it hard to stay competitive.
  • The bill's liability changes might deter manufacturers from innovating, affecting the products I can offer.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 7
Year 10 7 8
Year 20 8 8

police officer (California)

Age: 28 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 18/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy could help reduce gun-related incidents, which would make my job safer and more rewarding.
  • I'm hopeful the research and community grants will lead to long-term safety improvements.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 9 7
Year 5 9 8
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 9 8

college student (Florida)

Age: 19 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It's frustrating that I can't purchase a firearm now due to the age increase. I understand safety concerns, but I feel my rights are being limited.
  • I may have to find alternative means for my sense of security.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 8 8

school teacher (Illinois)

Age: 63 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 16/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Anything that makes our communities and schools safer, including restricting access to dangerous firearms, is a step in the right direction. I fully support the policy.
  • It's reassuring knowing that measures like this are in place to protect us.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 8 7

corporate lawyer (New York)

Age: 30 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The shift in liability for gun manufacturers could lead to a surge in litigation, which could either strain the industry or lead to more responsible practices.
  • This policy introduces significant changes, and it's uncertain how this will play out in the legal landscape.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 9

firearm enthusiast and collector (Ohio)

Age: 55 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Collecting firearms has been a lifelong hobby, and I'm concerned the new restrictions might make it more difficult or expensive.
  • While I recognize the need for safety, I hope they maintain allowances for collectors.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 8
Year 2 7 8
Year 3 7 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 9
Year 20 9 9

nursing student (North Carolina)

Age: 23 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I wanted a firearm for protection, but the new requirements make it harder to do so easily.
  • Hopefully, there's an improvement in community safety as a result, but for now, it adds to my stress.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 5 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 8 8

firearms manufacturer (Montana)

Age: 39 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The restrictions on manufacturing and liability changes could increase our operational costs significantly.
  • It's critical to balance safety with business feasibility, and this policy might tip too far.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 6 7
Year 5 6 7
Year 10 7 8
Year 20 7 9

retired community activist (Connecticut)

Age: 70 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I've spent years advocating for reforms like these; this policy aligns with my belief that stricter controls will save lives.
  • I'm especially hopeful about the funding for community intervention programs to address root causes of violence.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 9 8

private security contractor (Missouri)

Age: 33 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 11/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I rely on firearms for my job, so increased requirements might complicate things, but safety is a priority too.
  • As long as the policy allows for necessary access for security professionals, I can adapt.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 9 9

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $1000000000 (Low: $800000000, High: $1200000000)

Year 2: $900000000 (Low: $700000000, High: $1100000000)

Year 3: $900000000 (Low: $700000000, High: $1100000000)

Year 5: $800000000 (Low: $600000000, High: $1000000000)

Year 10: $500000000 (Low: $300000000, High: $700000000)

Year 100: $200000000 (Low: $100000000, High: $400000000)

Key Considerations