Policy Impact Analysis - 117/S/5287

Bill Overview

Title: Startup Act

Description: This bill provides conditional visas to certain immigrants with advanced educational credentials. It also establishes a grant program to promote innovation and imposes requirements on certain rulemaking activities. The Department of Homeland Security (DHS) may provide conditional permanent resident status to up to 50,000 aliens with advanced science, technology, engineering, or math (STEM) degrees. Such aliens may remain in the country for up to one year after the expiration of a student visa to find employment, or indefinitely if already engaged in a STEM field. DHS may issue conditional immigrant visas for up to 75,000 qualified alien entrepreneurs. The bill imposes various requirements on such entrepreneurs, such as creating a number of full-time jobs for a period of time, after which the alien shall receive permanent resident status. The bill increases the per-country cap on family-based immigrant visas from 7% of the total number of such visas available that year to 15%, and eliminates the 7% cap for employment-based immigrant visas. It also removes an offset that reduced the number of visas for individuals from China. The bill establishes a grant program to support the commercialization of federally-funded research. It also requires the Small Business Administration to award grants regionally to interconnected businesses within an industry sector. This bill requires federal agencies, before proposing a rule that may have a significant economic effect, to publish an analysis of the rule, including the problem the rule intends to address and a cost-benefit analysis.

Sponsors: Sen. Moran, Jerry [R-KS]

Target Audience

Population: immigrants with advanced STEM degrees and qualified alien entrepreneurs

Estimated Size: 75000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Research Scientist (Boston, MA)

Age: 34 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I believe this policy will allow me to stay in the U.S. and continue my research.
  • The visa options provide much needed security for myself and my family.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 9 5
Year 5 9 5
Year 10 8 4
Year 20 7 3

Tech Startup Founder (Seattle, WA)

Age: 28 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The prospect of a visa connected to entrepreneurship is excellent for people like me who are invested in building businesses here.
  • It eases a lot of stress related to visa expiration.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 8 5
Year 3 9 5
Year 5 10 4
Year 10 9 3
Year 20 8 3

Venture Capitalist (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 42 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The Startup Act is promising as it can escalate innovative business activities by providing the necessary visas and grants to startups.
  • Long-term, it improves the investment landscape.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 9 7
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 7 6

Software Engineer (Austin, TX)

Age: 30 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The bill seems like a step in the right direction for retaining talent.
  • I do wish there was a larger focus on extending benefits to current H-1B holders.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 7 5

University Professor (Chicago, IL)

Age: 50 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I see potential increases in collaboration benefits from the commercialization grants.
  • This might spur innovation in university settings.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 7 5

Regulatory Affairs Specialist (New York, NY)

Age: 38 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The required cost-benefit analyses for rules could lead to more transparency.
  • However, it might also slow down necessary regulatory updates.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 5 5
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 5 5

Graduate Student (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 25 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The additional time allowed post-graduation relieves some of my concerns about finding suitable employment here.
  • It's an opportunity for me to apply my education.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 5
Year 2 8 5
Year 3 8 4
Year 5 7 3
Year 10 6 3
Year 20 5 3

Small Business Owner (Houston, TX)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • While this policy mostly targets high-tech sectors, community businesses might eventually see indirect benefits.
  • However, little immediate impact for local businesses yet.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 6

Retired Engineer (Phoenix, AZ)

Age: 60 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The grants could foster a new wave of innovations, which is exciting to observe from an advisory capacity.
  • I'm keen to see how the commercialization aspect develops.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 6 6

Immigration Lawyer (San Jose, CA)

Age: 37 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy provides some relief for STEM graduates but doesn't address broader immigration system reforms.
  • I expect an increase in clients seeking advice on these new pathways.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 9 8
Year 2 9 8
Year 3 9 8
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 7

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $500000000 (Low: $450000000, High: $550000000)

Year 2: $510000000 (Low: $460000000, High: $560000000)

Year 3: $520200000 (Low: $468000000, High: $572400000)

Year 5: $550000000 (Low: $495000000, High: $605000000)

Year 10: $600000000 (Low: $540000000, High: $660000000)

Year 100: $1500000000 (Low: $1350000000, High: $1650000000)

Key Considerations