Policy Impact Analysis - 117/S/5273

Bill Overview

Title: Uyghur Human Rights Sanctions Review Act

Description: This bill requires the Department of the Treasury to determine whether specified Chinese entities (1) are responsible for serious human rights abuses against Uyghurs or certain other predominantly Muslim ethnic groups, and (2) meet the criteria for the imposition of certain sanctions.

Sponsors: Sen. Rubio, Marco [R-FL]

Target Audience

Population: Uyghurs and other predominantly Muslim ethnic groups in China affected by state actions

Estimated Size: 10000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Software Engineer (New York City, NY)

Age: 32 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy is a step in the right direction. Sanctions can create more awareness and pressure on the Chinese government to change its practices.
  • Although it might not directly impact my daily life, it gives me some hope for positive change.
  • I am concerned about the potential for the policy to escalate tensions between the US and China.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 5 4

Academic Researcher (Chicago, IL)

Age: 45 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy could highlight and validate years of advocacy and research that I've been part of.
  • It might not affect me directly but could influence my work environment, especially if there are more opportunities for research funding or collaboration.
  • I'm concerned about the policy's limited budget affecting its efficacy.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Non-profit Worker (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 28 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Policies like these are crucial to drawing international attention to the Uyghur plight.
  • It could mean more support and resources for Uyghur communities, which could be linked to our organization’s work.
  • I worry about backlash against China's increased sanctions and how it might impact diplomatic relations.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 5 4
Year 5 5 4
Year 10 5 4
Year 20 5 3

Small Business Owner (Houston, TX)

Age: 39 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 1.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy sends a strong message on human rights, which could align with my personal values.
  • It might affect how I conduct business internationally, especially with Chinese companies.
  • I'm cautious about any policy that might indirectly affect trade relations.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 6 7
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Government Employee (Washington D.C.)

Age: 50 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Our work in international relations could see heightened focus on human rights, adding new dimensions to our engagements.
  • I feel the policy is commendable but its impact will be largely on optics rather than substantial change initially.
  • Working within the limited budget will be challenging.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Student (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 24 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 4.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Policies like this can inspire student activism, adding weight to our calls for human rights.
  • It's validating to see our government's stand on this issue being formalized.
  • I hope this isn't just a symbolic gesture but translates into real change.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 6 5

Retired (Seattle, WA)

Age: 60 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm hopeful that this policy can provide some relief or justice for those affected.
  • It could be a catalyst for more local awareness and support initiatives I'm involved in.
  • I remain skeptical about how effective sanctions will be in changing on-the-ground situations.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 5 5
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 5 5

Artist (Oakland, CA)

Age: 22 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy will influence my art and give a powerful narrative for my activism.
  • I'm excited because governmental actions reinforce what we aim for in grassroots activism.
  • Wonder if there will be a real, palpable impact or if it's just political posturing.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 5 5
Year 5 5 5
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 5 5

Financial Analyst (Dallas, TX)

Age: 29 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • My work enables me to see the potential for real economic impacts through sanctions, though they often don't lead to immediate changes.
  • I'm concerned for family members caught in the repercussions of such policies.
  • Hopeful that long-term, persistent policies could bring about a change.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 6 5

Journalist (Boston, MA)

Age: 33 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 4.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy can increase the focus of my reporting, offering a new avenue to highlight human rights issues.
  • It aligns with the ethical aspects of my work.
  • I'm apprehensive about the potential for diplomatic fallout.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 9 8
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 6

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $4000000 (Low: $3000000, High: $5000000)

Year 2: $4200000 (Low: $3200000, High: $5200000)

Year 3: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 5: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 10: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 100: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Key Considerations