Policy Impact Analysis - 117/S/5235

Bill Overview

Title: Emergency Vacating of Aircraft Cabin Act

Description: This bill directs the Federal Aviation Administration to issue a final rule establishing evacuation standards for transport category airplanes that accounts for certain factors, including the ability of passengers of different ages (e.g., infants, children, and senior citizens) to safely and efficiently evacuate an airplane.

Sponsors: Sen. Duckworth, Tammy [D-IL]

Target Audience

Population: Passengers on transport category airplanes

Estimated Size: 926000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Marketing Manager (New York, NY)

Age: 32 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 11/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It's reassuring to know that evacuation standards will be improved, especially when traveling with a small child.
  • I believe this will provide peace of mind for all travelers.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 9 6

Engineer (Chicago, IL)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I don't often think about emergencies, but knowing there's a plan for everyone makes flying feels safer.
  • Good that they are considering the needs of different ages.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 8 5

Retired (Miami, FL)

Age: 67 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I worry about moving quickly in an emergency due to my mobility issues, so this policy is very encouraging.
  • I hope this leads to more considerate designs in airplanes.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 5
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 8 5
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 9 5
Year 20 9 5

Tech Startup CEO (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 29 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This doesn't affect me much as I rarely fly, but it's good knowing it's there if needed.
  • Policies like this should be standard in every country.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 7 7

Pilot (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 50 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 9

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 2/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Anything that improves safety on flights is beneficial.
  • It's crucial to address these issues given past experiences in emergencies.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 10 9
Year 2 10 9
Year 3 10 9
Year 5 9 8
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 9 8

Graduate Student (Austin, TX)

Age: 23 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Safety improvements are always welcome, especially for someone traveling often.
  • The policy should also address evacuation during international flights.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 5

Attorney (Phoenix, AZ)

Age: 61 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It sounds like a sensible move, but given that I don't travel much anymore, it's not very relevant to me.
  • I'd like to see results before forming a stronger opinion.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 5

Flight Attendant (Seattle, WA)

Age: 38 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This kind of policy is critical to our roles; anything easing passenger panic in emergencies is beneficial.
  • Evacuation protocols need constant updating for real-world scenarios.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 9 8
Year 2 9 8
Year 3 9 8
Year 5 9 8
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 8 7

Accountant (Denver, CO)

Age: 55 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Necessary adjustments to evacuation processes are good, but I'm indifferent otherwise.
  • Other issues like delays and in-flight comfort concern me more.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 6 5

Freelancer (Boston, MA)

Age: 40 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 9

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Glad to see these measures, but I'd like to see more efforts in making flights sustainable as well.
  • Travel safety is important, but it aligns equally with environmental concerns.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 9 9
Year 2 9 9
Year 3 9 9
Year 5 9 9
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 7

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $20000000 (Low: $15000000, High: $25000000)

Year 2: $30000000 (Low: $25000000, High: $35000000)

Year 3: $30000000 (Low: $25000000, High: $35000000)

Year 5: $20000000 (Low: $15000000, High: $25000000)

Year 10: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 100: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Key Considerations