Policy Impact Analysis - 117/S/5233

Bill Overview

Title: A bill to require the President to submit to Congress a report on United States Government efforts to collect, analyze, and preserve evidence and information related to war crimes and other atrocities committed during the full-scale Russian invasion of Ukraine since February 24, 2022, and for other purposes.

Description: This bill requires the President to report to Congress on atrocities committed during Russia's invasion of Ukraine since February 24, 2022. Specifically, the report must describe in detail (1) U.S. government efforts to collect, analyze, and preserve evidence related to war crimes and other atrocities committed during the invasion; (2) media, public diplomacy, and information operations to make the Russian people, including their military and political leaders, aware of efforts to identify and prosecute those responsible for such atrocities; and (3) the process for a domestic, foreign, or international court or tribunal to obtain information from the U.S. government related to such atrocities.

Sponsors: Sen. Cornyn, John [R-TX]

Target Audience

Population: Individuals directly and indirectly involved in or impacted by the efforts to address war crimes during the Russian invasion of Ukraine

Estimated Size: 10000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Diplomat (Washington D.C.)

Age: 35 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy is vital for ensuring accountability for war crimes, which aligns with our duty to uphold international law.
  • It raises awareness globally and potentially pressures the Russian government to reconsider their actions.
  • But the workload is immense, and the budget constraints make thorough evidence collection challenging.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 8 4
Year 20 7 4

International Law Specialist (New York)

Age: 40 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It is essential to have a systematic approach towards gathering evidence on atrocities.
  • The collaboration outlined will aid legal processes.
  • International pressure through media can potentially prevent further atrocities.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 9 6
Year 20 8 5

Human Rights Activist (Chicago)

Age: 32 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • There's a personal connection to this conflict, so I'm grateful steps are being taken for accountability.
  • Getting evidence is crucial, but how much will it change on the ground?
  • I worry about the effectiveness given the limited budget.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 8 4
Year 10 8 3
Year 20 7 2

Media Analyst (Los Angeles)

Age: 28 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The way media is used in this policy is crucial for spreading awareness.
  • The budget might limit how impactful the media operations will be globally.
  • Overall, it’s a step forward for transparency in conflicts.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 5 4

International Relations Professor (New York)

Age: 54 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Academic interest in how policies like this are developed and executed.
  • It's good this is not just talk and there is actually reporting and evidence aggregation being done.
  • However, educating the Russian populace is a massive task given potential media suppression.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 9 6
Year 10 9 5
Year 20 8 5

Civil Rights Lawyer (Chicago)

Age: 45 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • As a lawyer, I support any project that builds up evidence for war crime tribunals.
  • This policy empowers legal frameworks with factual reporting.
  • The financial limitations might restrict full legal support and follow-through.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 9 7
Year 5 9 6
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 7 5

Ukrainian-American Businessman (Houston)

Age: 36 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This legislation gives me hope that justice may prevail for my family.
  • Awareness of war crimes might deter future inhumane acts.
  • The time it will require for accountability is concerning.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 4
Year 2 6 4
Year 3 6 4
Year 5 7 4
Year 10 7 3
Year 20 6 2

Journalist (Boston)

Age: 50 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • War crime documentation is a challenging but essential story.
  • Reports of atrocities should be relayed fairly and demand context and evidence.
  • Concerns about the reach and impact of this media effort, given budget constraints.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 8 5
Year 5 8 4
Year 10 7 3
Year 20 7 2

Intelligence Analyst (San Francisco)

Age: 27 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Considering my work, this policy allows more structured intelligence work on crimes.
  • It could lead to actionable insights and support international law efforts.
  • The work is demanding, and limited resources make thorough analysis difficult.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 7 4
Year 20 6 4

College Student (Seattle)

Age: 22 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • As an observer, this policy sets an example of efforts toward global justice.
  • The integration of diplomatic and legal processes is educational for my studies.
  • Explaining and spreading awareness about war crimes in Russia poses significant challenges.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 6 5

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $15000000 (Low: $10000000, High: $20000000)

Year 2: $15000000 (Low: $10000000, High: $20000000)

Year 3: $15000000 (Low: $10000000, High: $20000000)

Year 5: $15000000 (Low: $10000000, High: $20000000)

Year 10: $15000000 (Low: $10000000, High: $20000000)

Year 100: $15000000 (Low: $10000000, High: $20000000)

Key Considerations