Policy Impact Analysis - 117/S/5228

Bill Overview

Title: A bill to treat activities related to fisheries in the Bering Sea and Aleutian Islands areas as related to an exempt purpose for purposes of the Internal Revenue Code of 1986.

Description: This bill treats certain activities (e.g., harvesting, processing, transportation, sales, and marketing of fish and fish products) that are substantially related to participation or investment in fisheries in areas of the Bering Sea and Aleutian Islands as related to an exempt purpose and thus exempt from taxation.

Sponsors: Sen. Murkowski, Lisa [R-AK]

Target Audience

Population: People involved in the Bering Sea and Aleutian Islands fisheries

Estimated Size: 50000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Fisherman for a commercial cod fishing company (Anchorage, Alaska)

Age: 34 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The tax exemption could help my company save a lot, possibly leading to higher wages or more stable employment.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 9 6
Year 10 9 6
Year 20 9 6

Fish processing plant manager (Juneau, Alaska)

Age: 45 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • If the business saves money on taxes, we might be able to invest in better equipment or training for workers.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 8 5

Fish processing worker (Sitka, Alaska)

Age: 29 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I hope this means more stable hours or even a pay raise, which would help me save for school.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 6 5

Logistics coordinator for seafood exports (Seattle, Washington)

Age: 52 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This could increase demand for shipping services which might strengthen our business ties with Alaskan firms.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 7 7

Owner of a small seafood restaurant (Ketchikan, Alaska)

Age: 39 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • If local fish prices drop because of tax savings, I could lower prices or increase margins.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 7 5

Marketing specialist for a seafood brand (Fairbanks, Alaska)

Age: 28 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Increased profitability leads to higher marketing budgets, so I see growth opportunities.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 7

Retired, formerly worked in a fish hatchery (Unalaska, Alaska)

Age: 60 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I wonder if this policy might indirectly improve local public services through economic growth.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 6 5

Dockworker (Dutch Harbor, Alaska)

Age: 33 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Tax exemptions for our companies might boost our workload, meaning more job stability.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 6

Environmental NGO worker (Portland, Oregon)

Age: 42 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm concerned about encouraging expansion without strict sustainability guidelines.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 5 5
Year 5 5 5
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 5 5

Fishery compliance officer (Anchorage, Alaska)

Age: 50 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'll have to ensure everyone's following the new rules, so I don't see changes in my role, but positive economic effects could impact the community.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $20000000 (Low: $15000000, High: $25000000)

Year 2: $20500000 (Low: $15500000, High: $25500000)

Year 3: $21000000 (Low: $16000000, High: $26000000)

Year 5: $22000000 (Low: $17000000, High: $27000000)

Year 10: $25000000 (Low: $20000000, High: $30000000)

Year 100: $50000000 (Low: $40000000, High: $60000000)

Key Considerations