Policy Impact Analysis - 117/S/5179

Bill Overview

Title: A bill to amend the Endangered Species Act of 1973 to require congressional approval of certain actions, and for other purposes.

Description: This bill requires congressional approval to list, remove from a list, or change the status of any endangered species or threatened species.

Sponsors: Sen. Marshall, Roger [R-KS]

Target Audience

Population: Global Population Benefiting from Endangered Species Protection

Estimated Size: 331000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Wildlife Biologist (Seattle, WA)

Age: 35 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The new bill makes my job harder because it adds more bureaucracy to species listings.
  • Conservation efforts might stall, waiting for congressional approval, which is frustrating.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 6 8
Year 5 7 8
Year 10 7 8
Year 20 7 8

Farmer (Austin, TX)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I support conservation, but the change could allow more leniency as more voices participate in decisions.
  • There's hope it reduces abrupt impacts on our water rights from new listings.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 7 5

Environmental Activist (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 28 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm worried this gives more room for political interference in crucial conservation decisions.
  • Local projects may be more challenging if species protection lags.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 8
Year 2 7 8
Year 3 7 8
Year 5 6 8
Year 10 6 8
Year 20 6 8

Retired (Phoenix, AZ)

Age: 60 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm concerned about the slow pace this could introduce in responding to urgent conservation needs.
  • It might make visiting protected areas more uncertain regarding biodiversity.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Rancher (Boise, ID)

Age: 50 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy could help involve more stakeholders, possibly providing better balance in decisions.
  • Too much red tape can impede natural resource use and economic activity.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 6 4
Year 20 5 4

Corporate Lawyer (New York, NY)

Age: 32 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • There might be more cases and longer timelines, which could mean more work for lawyers, good and bad.
  • Delay in listing could undermine urgent conservation efforts.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 8
Year 2 7 8
Year 3 7 8
Year 5 7 8
Year 10 7 8
Year 20 8 8

Ecologist (Denver, CO)

Age: 55 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy could lead to uncertainty in protection measures, affecting long-term fieldwork plans.
  • Research may face increased scrutiny and political overtones.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 6 7
Year 5 6 7
Year 10 6 7
Year 20 6 7

Policy Analyst (Miami, FL)

Age: 40 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • More interventions mean decisions can be slowed, risking declines in some habitats.
  • Balancing science with politics is challenging and this policy might skew that balance.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 6 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Graduate Student (Environmental Studies) (Sacramento, CA)

Age: 25 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This adds an interesting case study to my research, though it might complicate future conservation efforts.
  • Consensus-based approaches in politics can be unpredictable.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Retired Teacher (Richmond, VA)

Age: 70 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 11/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I worry that political debates could overshadow scientific evidence in protecting species.
  • Education around endangered species can be affected, possibly decreasing awareness.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 8
Year 2 7 8
Year 3 7 8
Year 5 7 8
Year 10 7 8
Year 20 7 8

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $50000000 (Low: $30000000, High: $100000000)

Year 2: $52000000 (Low: $32000000, High: $104000000)

Year 3: $54080000 (Low: $33280000, High: $108160000)

Year 5: $58320000 (Low: $35840000, High: $116640000)

Year 10: $69960000 (Low: $42960000, High: $139920000)

Year 100: $252232000 (Low: $155656000, High: $504464000)

Key Considerations