Policy Impact Analysis - 117/S/5178

Bill Overview

Title: DITCH Act

Description: This bill denies an organization a tax exemption if it holds any interest in a disqualified Chinese company or fails to timely transmit required annual reports. A disqualified Chinese company is any corporation incorporated in China, or that invests more than 10% of its stock in certain Chinese entities, including entities controlled by the Chinese Communist Party. The Department of the Treasury may grant organizations a waiver of the denial of the tax exemption under specified circumstances. Organizations that hold any interest in a disqualified Chinese company must file annual reports describing each interest held in the company, the period during which such interest was held, and whether the organization has been granted a waiver.

Sponsors: Sen. Hawley, Josh [R-MO]

Target Audience

Population: Organizations with tax-exempt status investing in Chinese companies

Estimated Size: 30000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

CFO of a charitable foundation (New York, NY)

Age: 45 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Our foundation will need to review our investment strategy significantly.
  • I think this policy will drive foundations to be more cautious with their international investments.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 8
Year 2 7 8
Year 3 7 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 9 8

CEO of a tech-focused non-profit (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 35 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This Act will make our international investment operations more complex.
  • I'm concerned about potential deterrents to overseas partnerships.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 8
Year 3 6 8
Year 5 7 8
Year 10 8 9
Year 20 8 9

Director of a university endowment (Chicago, IL)

Age: 50 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 9

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • We already have compliance processes, but this adds another layer of requirements.
  • Difficult to predict long-term effects on returns.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 9
Year 2 8 9
Year 3 8 9
Year 5 8 9
Year 10 8 9
Year 20 9 9

Manager at a local arts organization (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 29 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 18/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I don't think this policy will change anything for our organization.
  • We don't engage in any foreign investments.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 5 5
Year 5 5 5
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 6 5

CEO of a multi-national non-profit organization (Houston, TX)

Age: 60 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It complicates our operations due to our significant Chinese exposure.
  • We may need to divest or restructure some portfolio allocations.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 8
Year 2 6 8
Year 3 7 8
Year 5 7 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

Policy analyst for a financial think-tank (Denver, CO)

Age: 42 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy is an important step towards ethical investing standards.
  • There might be unintended consequences for some tax-exempt organizations.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 7

Investment advisor for a non-profit (Miami, FL)

Age: 38 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 11/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This will affect our current strategy.
  • We'll have to reassess risk regarding our Asia portfolio.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 8 7

Executive Director of a wildlife conservation charity (Seattle, WA)

Age: 55 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 20/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Our organization won’t be impacted directly by this policy.
  • Good to raise awareness about investment transparency.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 9 8

Chief Investment Officer at a private foundation (Boston, MA)

Age: 48 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • We need additional resources to comply with new reporting requirements.
  • Possible strategic shifts required in asset allocation.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 9

Charity Executive for a small organization (Atlanta, GA)

Age: 34 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 17/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • We don't have international interests so we remain unaffected.
  • Our attention will be on the implication for partners who might be affected.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 6

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $5000000 (Low: $3000000, High: $7000000)

Year 2: $4500000 (Low: $2750000, High: $6250000)

Year 3: $4250000 (Low: $2600000, High: $5900000)

Year 5: $4000000 (Low: $2400000, High: $5600000)

Year 10: $3500000 (Low: $2100000, High: $4900000)

Year 100: $2000000 (Low: $1200000, High: $2800000)

Key Considerations