Policy Impact Analysis - 117/S/5161

Bill Overview

Title: A bill to provide for the liquidation or reliquidation of certain entries of products of European Union member states, and for other purposes.

Description: This bill provides for the liquidation or reliquidation of certain entries of products (e.g., wine, spirits, and food) of European Union countries exported to the United States during specified time periods.

Sponsors: Sen. Menendez, Robert [D-NJ]

Target Audience

Population: People consuming, importing, or selling EU products specified in the bill

Estimated Size: 60000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Wine Importer (New York, NY)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The FAIR TARIFF Act could significantly lower costs for us, improving our margins.
  • I'm optimistic that this policy will help sustain the business and improve competitive pricing.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 9 5
Year 10 9 5
Year 20 8 5

Gourmet Food Store Owner (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 52 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Import relief would help lower prices, potentially increasing customer demand.
  • I appreciate the focus on reducing costs but worry about the longevity of these benefits.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 6 4
Year 20 5 4

Restaurant Manager (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 29 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Reduced import costs can allow us to maintain menu prices despite other rising costs.
  • If the savings are substantial, it might even let us expand our menu options.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 6
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 9 5
Year 5 9 5
Year 10 8 4
Year 20 7 4

Logistics Coordinator (Chicago, IL)

Age: 40 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I don't think the policy will directly affect my day-to-day work.
  • There might be indirect benefits if import volumes increase, leading to more stable employment.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 5 5
Year 5 5 5
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 5 5

Consumer (Boston, MA)

Age: 34 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • If the policy reduces prices, it would make it easier to indulge in these treats.
  • I might also discover more foreign products if imports become cheaper.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 6

Small Business Owner (Seattle, WA)

Age: 60 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Relief on tariffs would help me avoid passing costs to consumers.
  • As a niche market player, any savings could have a significant impact on my bottom line.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 4
Year 2 6 4
Year 3 7 4
Year 5 7 4
Year 10 6 3
Year 20 5 3

Wholesale Distributor (Houston, TX)

Age: 47 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • A easing of tariff pressures could mean more competitive offers to our clients.
  • I'm curious about how the policy will handle complexities in filing for relief.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 6 5

European Product Specialist (Miami, FL)

Age: 38 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Aligning with these policies can provide solid business opportunities.
  • This initiative is crucial for our clients' strategic planning in the US market.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 6

Graduate Student (Austin, TX)

Age: 26 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 1.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm interested to see the real-world impact of this on import costs and consumer prices.
  • Such policies are good case studies for my research.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Policy Analyst (Denver, CO)

Age: 50 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It's essential to measure the policy's efficacy and adjust as needed for greater economic integration.
  • Long-term strategic benefits outweigh short-term adjustments.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $15000000 (Low: $12000000, High: $18000000)

Year 2: $15000000 (Low: $12000000, High: $18000000)

Year 3: $15000000 (Low: $12000000, High: $18000000)

Year 5: $15000000 (Low: $12000000, High: $18000000)

Year 10: $15000000 (Low: $12000000, High: $18000000)

Year 100: $15000000 (Low: $12000000, High: $18000000)

Key Considerations