Policy Impact Analysis - 117/S/5124

Bill Overview

Title: Chaco Cultural Heritage Area Protection Act of 2022

Description: This bill creates a buffer zone around the Chaco Culture National Historic Park in New Mexico by prohibiting certain leases on federal land for the development of mineral resources or geothermal energy within the buffer zone. Nonproducing oil and gas leases in the buffer zone are terminated.

Sponsors: Sen. Lujan, Ben Ray [D-NM]

Target Audience

Population: People involved in and around Chaco Culture National Historic Park

Estimated Size: 8000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Tribal Liaison (Farmington, NM)

Age: 45 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy is a positive step in preserving our historical lands.
  • I am concerned about potential job losses for my community.
  • I believe it will increase public awareness about our cultural heritage.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 9 5
Year 20 9 5

Oil and Gas Worker (Gallup, NM)

Age: 51 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm worried about job losses due to the termination of leases.
  • The policy could have been more balanced with job protection measures.
  • It's important, though, to preserve cultural sites.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 4 6
Year 5 4 5
Year 10 3 5
Year 20 3 4

Environmental Advocate (Albuquerque, NM)

Age: 30 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This is a vital victory for environmental conservation and heritage preservation.
  • I believe it will set a precedent for further protection acts.
  • It's crucial to consider economic transitions for affected workers.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 9 8
Year 2 9 8
Year 3 9 8
Year 5 9 8
Year 10 10 7
Year 20 10 7

Tourism Operator (Santa Fe, NM)

Age: 40 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The preservation act is likely to increase tourism.
  • I'm hopeful it will enrich the cultural narrative for tourists.
  • There might be initial economic disruptions, but long-term gains are expected.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 9 6
Year 20 9 5

Energy Executive (Houston, TX)

Age: 58 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 2/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy restricts new opportunities, but adaptational change is necessary.
  • We expected shifts like these and are adjusting our business strategies accordingly.
  • It's critical to liaise with local communities for sustainable solutions.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 7 8
Year 5 7 8
Year 10 6 8
Year 20 6 7

Cultural Historian (Window Rock, AZ)

Age: 35 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It's encouraging to see legislative steps towards protecting sacred sites.
  • This could foster educational opportunities both for locals and tourists.
  • Sustaining the cultural landscape is invaluable for future generations.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 8 5
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 9 4
Year 20 9 4

Investor (New York, NY)

Age: 47 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 2/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy restricts some investment opportunities in geothermal developments.
  • We hope for future alternative programs or incentives for renewables.
  • Understanding local cultural significance is important for projects.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 7 8
Year 20 7 8

Student (Santa Ana Pueblo, NM)

Age: 27 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I am excited about what this policy means for my studies and future work.
  • There's genuine concern over economic impacts for workers in the area.
  • I hope to contribute to sustainable development solutions.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 9 5
Year 20 9 5

Geologist (Los Alamos, NM)

Age: 55 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy limits some research initiatives, but promotes conservation.
  • It's essential to balance resource management with preservation.
  • This legislation might open new areas of study in sustainable resource use.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 7 4

Ranger (Chaco Canyon, NM)

Age: 60 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This act will significantly aid in the preservation efforts we strive for daily.
  • It helps us engage more with visitors about cultural importance.
  • The change might demand adjustments in park logistics and staffing.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 9 5
Year 10 9 5
Year 20 9 5

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $50000000 (Low: $30000000, High: $70000000)

Year 2: $52000000 (Low: $31000000, High: $73000000)

Year 3: $54000000 (Low: $32000000, High: $76000000)

Year 5: $59000000 (Low: $35000000, High: $82000000)

Year 10: $71000000 (Low: $42000000, High: $99000000)

Year 100: $180000000 (Low: $110000000, High: $240000000)

Key Considerations