Policy Impact Analysis - 117/S/5118

Bill Overview

Title: A bill to require the Commissioner of U.S. Customs and Border Protection to identify and conduct recurrent vetting of evacuees from Afghanistan found not to be properly vetted before entering the United States.

Description: This bill requires U.S. Customs and Border Protection to conduct recurrent and periodic screening and vetting of all evacuees from Afghanistan who were paroled into the United States under certain operations. The screening and vetting must include consulting all law enforcement and international terrorist screening databases.

Sponsors: Sen. Scott, Rick [R-FL]

Target Audience

Population: People evacuated from Afghanistan to the United States who were not properly vetted

Estimated Size: 123500

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Software Engineer (California)

Age: 35 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I understand the need for security, but the recurrent screenings make me anxious.
  • I have started to build a new life here and constant vetting feels disruptive.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 5 6
Year 5 6 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 8 8

Translator (Virginia)

Age: 40 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It's important for safety, but I hope it doesn't create more hurdles for us.
  • Should be balanced: safety with respect.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 5
Year 2 4 5
Year 3 5 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 7
Year 20 7 8

Student (Texas)

Age: 28 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Recurrent checks are okay if they help keep communities safe.
  • Hope it doesn't affect my studies here.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 8
Year 3 7 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 9

Activist (New York)

Age: 55 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm worried about the impact on mental health and community relations.
  • Screenings might feel like an invasion of privacy.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 7
Year 3 6 7
Year 5 6 7
Year 10 7 8
Year 20 7 8

Small Business Owner (Florida)

Age: 32 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 11/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Uncertain how the screenings will affect business and customer base.
  • Mixed opinions from community members.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 9 9

Policy Analyst (Washington D.C.)

Age: 60 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I see the necessity for security screenings, but we must ensure they are done humanely.
  • Policy implementation should protect without discriminating.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

Teacher (Michigan)

Age: 47 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Many students are worried about added screenings affecting their families.
  • I hope it enhances security without adding stress to students' lives.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 9

Nurse (Illinois)

Age: 25 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 13/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I believe in the need for safety, but I fear for the anxiety it might cause my community.
  • The policy could help make us feel safer if done correctly.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 9
Year 5 8 9
Year 10 9 9
Year 20 9 9

Construction Worker (New Jersey)

Age: 38 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Security is important, but I hope it doesn't remind us of harsh past experiences.
  • Focus should also be on community building.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 7
Year 10 6 7
Year 20 7 8

Librarian (Georgia)

Age: 50 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 4.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I worry about the psychological toll on evacuees.
  • Screening should be done in the least intrusive way possible.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 8
Year 3 7 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 9
Year 20 9 9

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $20000000 (Low: $15000000, High: $30000000)

Year 2: $15000000 (Low: $10000000, High: $25000000)

Year 3: $15000000 (Low: $10000000, High: $25000000)

Year 5: $15000000 (Low: $10000000, High: $25000000)

Year 10: $10000000 (Low: $5000000, High: $20000000)

Year 100: $5000000 (Low: $0, High: $10000000)

Key Considerations