Policy Impact Analysis - 117/S/5092

Bill Overview

Title: ARC Relocation Act

Description: This bill provides for the relocation of the headquarters of the Appalachian Regional Commission (an economic development agency focused on the Appalachian region) from the District of Columbia to West Virginia.

Sponsors: Sen. Manchin, Joe, III [D-WV]

Target Audience

Population: People living in the Appalachian region

Estimated Size: 5000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Policy Analyst at ARC (Washington, D.C.)

Age: 34 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Relocation means I have to decide whether to move, which is stressful.
  • Concerned about disruption to ongoing projects.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 6

Recently graduated civil engineer (West Virginia)

Age: 29 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Optimistic about new job opportunities.
  • Hope the ARC presence boosts local development.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 8 5

Retired factory worker (Ohio, in the Appalachian region)

Age: 57 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Skeptical about the actual impact on my town.
  • Hopeful but not expecting significant change.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 4
Year 2 4 4
Year 3 5 4
Year 5 5 4
Year 10 5 4
Year 20 5 4

Small business owner (Kentucky, in the Appalachian region)

Age: 45 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Any increase in economic activity is good for my business.
  • Concerned about short-term disruptions.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 8 5

Researcher in urban development (New York)

Age: 60 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Relocation should make operations more efficient.
  • Worried about potential loss of institutional knowledge.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Graduate student (West Virginia)

Age: 23 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 8.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Excited about more opportunities for internships and jobs.
  • Interested in ARC's direct impact on local policies.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 8 6

County government worker (North Carolina, in the Appalachian region)

Age: 50 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Eager for more direct communication with ARC.
  • Concerned about potential funding shifts.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 8 5

Industrial worker (Alabama, in the Appalachian region)

Age: 38 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • If ARC projects increase, it could mean better jobs.
  • Skeptical of changes reaching my community.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Retired teacher (Georgia, in the Appalachian region)

Age: 66 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • ARC's move is promising if it enhances local development.
  • Long-term impacts are uncertain but hopeful.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 5 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 6 5

High school teacher (Tennessee, in the Appalachian region)

Age: 32 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 7.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Good teaching example of economic policy impact.
  • Hopes improved local engagement follows relocation.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 8 6

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $10000000 (Low: $8000000, High: $12000000)

Year 2: $3000000 (Low: $2500000, High: $3500000)

Year 3: $1500000 (Low: $1000000, High: $2000000)

Year 5: $500000 (Low: $300000, High: $700000)

Year 10: $200000 (Low: $100000, High: $300000)

Year 100: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Key Considerations