Policy Impact Analysis - 117/S/5084

Bill Overview

Title: Arrest Murderers not Ministers Act

Description: This bill specifies that in order for the federal government to prosecute individuals for violations of the Freedom of Access to Clinic Entrances Act (which prohibits forceful or threats of forceful interference with an individual's access to reproductive health services or exercise of religious freedom), the violation must involve intentional physical injuries or damage. Any funds that would have been used for prosecutions that are prohibited under the bill must be used to prosecute individuals who commit violent crimes or other specified offenses.

Sponsors: Sen. Hagerty, Bill [R-TN]

Target Audience

Population: People accessing reproductive health services and exercising religious freedoms

Estimated Size: 10000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Nurse (New York, NY)

Age: 29 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I think it is crucial to ensure safety at reproductive health clinics.
  • This policy might reduce the perception of safety among staff who see potential threats beyond physical violence.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 7

Community Organizer (Alabama)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy seems to protect non-violent protest activities, which I support.
  • Funding redirected to violent crimes could be positive if it truly enhances safety.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Religious Leader (Chicago, IL)

Age: 34 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I appreciate the focus on violent crimes, but the vague threat of reduced legal protections concerns me.
  • Freedom to practice religion without fear is a priority, and any erosion of that is worrying.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 8
Year 2 7 8
Year 3 7 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 9 8

College Student (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 22 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Reducing prosecution scope can embolden more aggressive protests, which could be dangerous.
  • The shift to combating violent crime is positive, but I worry about the consequences for clinic access.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 8 7

Police Officer (Dallas, TX)

Age: 50 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy might ease our workload on protesting events and let us concentrate on violent crimes.
  • More resources for violent crimes could lead to better crime resolution rates.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 8 5

Farmer (Rural Mississippi)

Age: 39 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Policy seems urban-focused, doesn't affect our community directly.
  • However, emphasizing violent crimes could improve public safety, which is good.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Lawyer (Miami, FL)

Age: 55 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Policy could reduce the number of cases we handle related to federal charges.
  • I believe more focus should be given to differentiating non-violent actions from violent threats.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 8 7

Artist (Portland, OR)

Age: 27 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 1.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The shift away from prosecuting non-violent protest-related actions is good, but it needs clear guidelines.
  • There is hope that violent crime rates will drop.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 9 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

Retired Factory Worker (Detroit, MI)

Age: 60 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Investing in managing violent crime is necessary in our community.
  • I don't think this policy affects my daily life much, unless crime rates drop.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 6 5

Elementary School Teacher (Salt Lake City, UT)

Age: 31 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • While I support freedom of religious practices, I worry about implications for protests at clinics.
  • It's crucial that the policy enhances community safety without eroding civil liberties.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 7

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $5000000 (Low: $3000000, High: $7000000)

Year 2: $5000000 (Low: $3000000, High: $7000000)

Year 3: $5000000 (Low: $3000000, High: $7000000)

Year 5: $5000000 (Low: $3000000, High: $7000000)

Year 10: $5000000 (Low: $3000000, High: $7000000)

Year 100: $5000000 (Low: $3000000, High: $7000000)

Key Considerations