Policy Impact Analysis - 117/S/5083

Bill Overview

Title: Haiti Criminal Collusion Transparency Act of 2022

Description: This bill requires the Department of State to (1) submit an annual report to Congress about ties between criminal gangs and economically or politically influential individuals in Haiti, and (2) designate those people for sanctions. The report must, for example, identify Haitian criminal gangs, identify influential Haitian individuals with ties to those gangs, and assess the implications of those ties to U.S. national security.

Sponsors: Sen. Menendez, Robert [D-NJ]

Target Audience

Population: Haitian citizens economically or politically influential and tied to gangs

Estimated Size: 100000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Import/Export Business Owner (Miami, FL)

Age: 42 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm concerned that increased scrutiny and potential sanctions could disrupt my business ties to Haiti.
  • While I support measures against crime, I hope the policy doesn't overreach and affect innocent business transactions.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Human Rights Activist (New York, NY)

Age: 35 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I hope this policy helps hold accountable those fostering violence in Haiti.
  • It's crucial that the reports and sanctions genuinely target those involved, not innocents.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 8 6

Foreign Policy Analyst (Washington D.C.)

Age: 50 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This represents a positive step towards addressing international crime but must be paired with supportive diplomatic efforts.
  • I am optimistic the policy will improve cooperation against transnational crime.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

Law Student (Boston, MA)

Age: 28 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Monitoring and sanction policies can be effective if aligned with human rights standards.
  • I'm concerned about the potential misuse of the act, hoping for transparency in enforcement.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 6

Investment Banker (Chicago, IL)

Age: 60 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I see potential risks to investments in Haiti if sanctions are not well-targeted.
  • It's important for investors that policies stabilize rather than disrupt regional security.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 8
Year 2 7 8
Year 3 7 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

Immigration Lawyer (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 55 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Stricter sanctions could affect my clients, especially those with family ties in Haiti.
  • We need a balance between national security and individual rights.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 6 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Non-Profit Director (Houston, TX)

Age: 45 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • While sanctions can deter criminal activities, they should not inhibit humanitarian efforts.
  • Careful execution is key to ensure aid channels remain open.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 6

Software Developer (Seattle, WA)

Age: 38 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I support efforts to diminish gang influence, but hope they're part of a broader strategy.
  • My wellbeing is tied to the stability and prosperity of regions I hold ties to.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 7

Journalist (Atlanta, GA)

Age: 30 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy offers intriguing narratives on international crime and ethics.
  • I'm watching how effectively it tackles crime and its collateral impacts.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 7

Entrepreneur (Phoenix, AZ)

Age: 48 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Policies like these should encourage positive change and development, not just penalize.
  • If well-managed, they can create a safer environment for business and growth.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 7 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 9 8
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 9 8

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $2000000 (Low: $1500000, High: $2500000)

Year 2: $2000000 (Low: $1500000, High: $2500000)

Year 3: $2100000 (Low: $1600000, High: $2600000)

Year 5: $2200000 (Low: $1650000, High: $2700000)

Year 10: $2300000 (Low: $1750000, High: $2800000)

Year 100: $3000000 (Low: $2500000, High: $3500000)

Key Considerations