Policy Impact Analysis - 117/S/5071

Bill Overview

Title: Replenishing Our American Reserves Act

Description: This bill requires the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) to only include petroleum products produced in the United States. It also directs the Department of Energy to only sell petroleum products from the SPR to entities within the United States.

Sponsors: Sen. Sullivan, Dan [R-AK]

Target Audience

Population: People impacted by global petroleum market changes

Estimated Size: 331000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Petroleum Engineer (Houston, TX)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I think the ROAR Act is a great step for enhancing national energy security.
  • It could stabilize the jobs here if we prioritize production stateside.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 9 7

Logistics Manager (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 34 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Fuel prices are critical for my business; any disruption worries me.
  • Domestic exclusivity on SPR oils might limit price spikes if managed well.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 5 5

Environmental Activist (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 29 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This act could incentivize more oil drilling, counteracting renewable energy goals.
  • I hope for habitat preservation and less environmental impact.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 5
Year 2 4 5
Year 3 4 5
Year 5 5 6
Year 10 5 7
Year 20 6 7

Economist (New York, NY)

Age: 52 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This legislation might affect our trade balance and leverage.
  • Relying internally could insulate us economically from external shocks.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 9 8

Retired (Chattanooga, TN)

Age: 65 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Any increase in fuel costs will impact my limited budget.
  • I hope it stabilizes prices locally.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 4 5
Year 5 4 5
Year 10 4 5
Year 20 5 6

Renewable Energy Consultant (Denver, CO)

Age: 28 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The ROAR Act could be seen as a setback for clean energy initiatives.
  • I hope it doesn't deter investment in renewables.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 6 7
Year 5 6 7
Year 10 6 7
Year 20 7 8

Truck Driver (Chicago, IL)

Age: 38 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 8.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm just worried about the gas price by the pump going up because of new regulations.
  • If it leads to shortages, that'll be rough on my livelihood.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 5 6
Year 5 5 6
Year 10 5 7
Year 20 4 7

Petroleum Company Executive (Dallas, TX)

Age: 56 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 9

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Localizing our oil reserves is definitely in our strategic interest.
  • Could spur investment in more rigs and site expansions.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 9 9
Year 2 9 9
Year 3 9 9
Year 5 9 9
Year 10 10 9
Year 20 10 9

Automotive Factory Worker (Detroit, MI)

Age: 50 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 11/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Increased costs for fuel could spill over to commuting budget and more.
  • Long-term changes might affect vehicle production stability.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 5 6
Year 5 5 6
Year 10 6 7
Year 20 6 7

Small Business Owner (Seattle, WA)

Age: 43 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 13/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I hope my distribution costs don't rise too much.
  • If managed well, it might stabilize my expenses.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 8
Year 20 6 8

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $200000000 (Low: $150000000, High: $250000000)

Year 2: $180000000 (Low: $140000000, High: $220000000)

Year 3: $160000000 (Low: $130000000, High: $200000000)

Year 5: $130000000 (Low: $100000000, High: $170000000)

Year 10: $80000000 (Low: $50000000, High: $120000000)

Year 100: $5000000 (Low: $2000000, High: $8000000)

Key Considerations