Bill Overview
Title: A bill to provide for the meaningful participation of Taiwan in the International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO).
Description: This bill authorizes the Department of State, in coordination with the Department of Commerce, to initiate a U.S. plan to secure Taiwan's meaningful participation in the International Civil Aviation Organization.
Sponsors: Sen. Cruz, Ted [R-TX]
Target Audience
Population: global airline passengers
Estimated Size: 99000000
- The bill focuses on Taiwan's participation in the ICAO, which involves global civil aviation matters.
- Increasing Taiwan's participation in the ICAO would impact international aviation safety, efficiency, and cooperation, which includes millions of airline passengers worldwide.
- Taiwan functions as a major air traffic hub in East Asia, affecting regional air travel.
- There are over 922 million airline passengers in the Asia-Pacific region, as per the ICAO 2019 report.
- With over 4 billion global air travelers annually (ICAO's 2019 data), Taiwan's involvement could influence a significant number of these travelers regarding safety standards and efficiency.
Reasoning
- The policy directly affects international travel, particularly relevant for U.S. citizens who travel internationally or are involved in the aviation and tourism industry.
- The impact on individual well-being is considered to be mostly indirect, with a focus on possible improvements in travel experience, safety, and efficiency.
- Most Americans may not perceive direct changes in their daily lives unless they frequently travel internationally. Thus, more heavily impacted interviews will include individuals engaged in roles directly tied to international travel.
Simulated Interviews
International Business Consultant (Los Angeles, CA)
Age: 45 | Gender: female
Wellbeing Before Policy: 7
Duration of Impact: 10.0 years
Commonness: 5/20
Statement of Opinion:
- I believe increasing Taiwan's participation in global aviation matters is crucial for safety and efficiency.
- This might help in securing better flight routes, reducing delays which directly affects my work.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 7 | 7 |
| Year 2 | 8 | 7 |
| Year 3 | 8 | 7 |
| Year 5 | 8 | 7 |
| Year 10 | 8 | 7 |
| Year 20 | 7 | 6 |
Airline Pilot (New York, NY)
Age: 30 | Gender: male
Wellbeing Before Policy: 8
Duration of Impact: 20.0 years
Commonness: 3/20
Statement of Opinion:
- Enhancements in international aviation cooperation are always welcome.
- Better safety standards and coordination can significantly improve my job experience.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 8 | 8 |
| Year 2 | 9 | 8 |
| Year 3 | 9 | 8 |
| Year 5 | 9 | 8 |
| Year 10 | 9 | 8 |
| Year 20 | 8 | 7 |
Graduate Student (Chicago, IL)
Age: 25 | Gender: other
Wellbeing Before Policy: 6
Duration of Impact: 15.0 years
Commonness: 7/20
Statement of Opinion:
- This policy seems like a smart move in terms of geopolitical relations and commercial aviation progress.
- As someone studying this field, I see the potential long-term benefits.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 6 | 6 |
| Year 2 | 6 | 6 |
| Year 3 | 6 | 6 |
| Year 5 | 7 | 6 |
| Year 10 | 7 | 6 |
| Year 20 | 7 | 6 |
Retired (Atlanta, GA)
Age: 60 | Gender: female
Wellbeing Before Policy: 5
Duration of Impact: 5.0 years
Commonness: 8/20
Statement of Opinion:
- I'm not sure how much this policy affects my personal life, but anything that assures safer flights is good.
- Direct impacts seem limited for a regular traveler like me.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 5 | 5 |
| Year 2 | 5 | 5 |
| Year 3 | 6 | 5 |
| Year 5 | 6 | 5 |
| Year 10 | 6 | 5 |
| Year 20 | 5 | 4 |
Tech Industry Executive (San Francisco, CA)
Age: 50 | Gender: male
Wellbeing Before Policy: 8
Duration of Impact: 20.0 years
Commonness: 4/20
Statement of Opinion:
- This policy could improve business travel experiences and operational efficiencies.
- Connectivity and on-time performance are crucial for staying competitive.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 8 | 8 |
| Year 2 | 8 | 8 |
| Year 3 | 8 | 8 |
| Year 5 | 9 | 8 |
| Year 10 | 9 | 8 |
| Year 20 | 8 | 7 |
Aerospace Engineer (Seattle, WA)
Age: 40 | Gender: male
Wellbeing Before Policy: 7
Duration of Impact: 15.0 years
Commonness: 5/20
Statement of Opinion:
- Any policy that strengthens global aviation cooperation and safety standards is beneficial.
- This could lead to innovative opportunities and research advancements in my field.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 7 | 7 |
| Year 2 | 7 | 7 |
| Year 3 | 7 | 7 |
| Year 5 | 8 | 7 |
| Year 10 | 8 | 7 |
| Year 20 | 7 | 6 |
Travel Blogger (Miami, FL)
Age: 35 | Gender: female
Wellbeing Before Policy: 8
Duration of Impact: 10.0 years
Commonness: 6/20
Statement of Opinion:
- Easier travel routes and improved timing would provide better content and experiences for my followers.
- I think the policy could streamline travel logistics into Asia.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 8 | 8 |
| Year 2 | 9 | 8 |
| Year 3 | 9 | 8 |
| Year 5 | 9 | 8 |
| Year 10 | 9 | 8 |
| Year 20 | 8 | 7 |
Software Developer (Boston, MA)
Age: 28 | Gender: male
Wellbeing Before Policy: 6
Duration of Impact: 0.0 years
Commonness: 2/20
Statement of Opinion:
- Though I don't travel much, I understand that this kind of coordination is critical for tech progress and efficiency.
- Direct impact on my life seems minimal.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 6 | 6 |
| Year 2 | 6 | 6 |
| Year 3 | 6 | 6 |
| Year 5 | 6 | 6 |
| Year 10 | 6 | 6 |
| Year 20 | 5 | 6 |
Airline Customer Service Manager (Houston, TX)
Age: 55 | Gender: female
Wellbeing Before Policy: 7
Duration of Impact: 20.0 years
Commonness: 4/20
Statement of Opinion:
- Anything that might ease operational challenges and improve customer experience is welcome.
- I hope it can reduce the stress of delays and enhance coordination.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 7 | 7 |
| Year 2 | 8 | 7 |
| Year 3 | 8 | 7 |
| Year 5 | 8 | 7 |
| Year 10 | 8 | 7 |
| Year 20 | 7 | 6 |
Undergraduate Student (Austin, TX)
Age: 22 | Gender: female
Wellbeing Before Policy: 6
Duration of Impact: 4.0 years
Commonness: 10/20
Statement of Opinion:
- This policy could make my travel to Taiwan more convenient and safe, but it's more of a side benefit than a major concern for me personally.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 6 | 6 |
| Year 2 | 7 | 6 |
| Year 3 | 7 | 6 |
| Year 5 | 7 | 6 |
| Year 10 | 7 | 6 |
| Year 20 | 6 | 5 |
Cost Estimates
Year 1: $75000000 (Low: $50000000, High: $100000000)
Year 2: $78000000 (Low: $52000000, High: $104000000)
Year 3: $80000000 (Low: $55000000, High: $110000000)
Year 5: $85000000 (Low: $58000000, High: $120000000)
Year 10: $95000000 (Low: $65000000, High: $145000000)
Year 100: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)
Key Considerations
- Diplomatic relations with China, as this policy could affect U.S.-China relations.
- The existing state of U.S. resources dedicated to international aviation treaties and collaborations.
- Potential backlash from international communities opposing Taiwan's participation.
- Initial costs might be high, but long-term economic benefits through improved aviation systems.