Policy Impact Analysis - 117/S/5052

Bill Overview

Title: Securing America’s Borders Against Fentanyl Act

Description: This bill requires research and reports on technology to address illicit drug trafficking. For example, the Department of Homeland Security (DHS) must develop a program to measure the effectiveness of technologies and strategies used by federal agencies to address the illicit trafficking of fentanyl and its precursors into the United States. Under the program, DHS must periodically report to Congress an analysis of technologies used in drug interdiction. The Government Accountability Office must periodically report to Congress on recommendations for improving the data collected and metrics used under the program.

Sponsors: Sen. Kelly, Mark [D-AZ]

Target Audience

Population: People affected by fentanyl trafficking and opioid crisis

Estimated Size: 20000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Nurse (Charleston, WV)

Age: 29 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I see the impact of fentanyl daily—anything that can reduce its flow into our community is very welcome.
  • This policy might help us with fewer overdose cases if it can effectively curb fentanyl trafficking.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 7 4
Year 5 7 3
Year 10 8 2
Year 20 8 2

Border Patrol Agent (El Paso, TX)

Age: 42 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Having access to better tools and technology is crucial for the job.
  • This policy seems focused on what we need to make a real difference.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 9 5
Year 5 9 5
Year 10 10 4
Year 20 10 4

Recovering addict (Baltimore, MD)

Age: 37 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It's scary knowing how much fentanyl is out there.
  • If this policy can help keep it off the streets, it could save lives, including mine.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 4
Year 2 6 4
Year 3 7 3
Year 5 7 3
Year 10 7 3
Year 20 7 3

Public health official (Newark, NJ)

Age: 51 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 18/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy addresses a crucial part of the supply chain problem.
  • Federal support for research and technology could enhance our local efforts dramatically.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 8 5
Year 3 8 5
Year 5 9 4
Year 10 9 4
Year 20 8 4

Tech industry worker (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 33 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 20/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I don't have much personal stake in this, but better border security sounds beneficial.
  • Hopefully, this can reduce crime rates in areas hit hard by drugs.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 6

Federal Policy Analyst (New York, NY)

Age: 55 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy is a step in the right direction for combating fentanyl trafficking.
  • Ensuring proper implementation and funding will be crucial for its success.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 9 6
Year 10 9 5
Year 20 9 5

Community activist (Seattle, WA)

Age: 40 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It could mesh well with community efforts like awareness and harm reduction.
  • Without curbing the supply, our work only provides temporary relief.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 8 5
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 9 5
Year 20 8 5

University student (Columbus, OH)

Age: 24 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 4.0 years

Commonness: 18/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Seems like an essential policy for anyone going into law enforcement.
  • Exposure to advanced technology might offer great learning opportunities.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 7 5

Retired teacher (Portland, ME)

Age: 61 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 16/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • A stronger border might mean a safer neighborhood.
  • I hope the policy includes enough oversight to prevent misuse.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 7 5

Customs Officer (Phoenix, AZ)

Age: 47 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • We've seen far too many cases where fentanyl has slipped through.
  • Enhanced technology is exactly what we need for more effective prevention.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 9 5
Year 5 9 5
Year 10 9 4
Year 20 9 4

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $45000000 (Low: $40000000, High: $60000000)

Year 2: $46000000 (Low: $41000000, High: $62000000)

Year 3: $47000000 (Low: $42000000, High: $64000000)

Year 5: $49000000 (Low: $44000000, High: $67000000)

Year 10: $52000000 (Low: $47000000, High: $70000000)

Year 100: $70000000 (Low: $65000000, High: $90000000)

Key Considerations