Policy Impact Analysis - 117/S/5040

Bill Overview

Title: Safer Supervision Act of 2022

Description: This bill modifies provisions relating to the terms of supervised release after imprisonment, including by (1) requiring individualized assessments and written explanations by the court as to whether supervised release is appropriate, and (2) providing a presumption of early termination of supervised release if the individual has served half of the term and meets certain other criteria.

Sponsors: Sen. Coons, Christopher A. [D-DE]

Target Audience

Population: Individuals under supervised release after imprisonment

Estimated Size: 4400000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Construction Worker (Atlanta, GA)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy gives me hope to end my supervised release early if I continue to meet the requirements.
  • Having an individualized assessment makes me feel like not just a number in the system.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 8 6

Chef (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 32 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I think it’s great because I’ve been working hard to turn things around and deserve a second chance.
  • Having criteria that consider individual actions is good.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 7

Retail Worker (Phoenix, AZ)

Age: 27 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 4.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I hope this new policy can assist me in getting back to leading a normal life quicker than expected.
  • It is reassuring to know each case is reviewed individually.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 4
Year 2 6 4
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 7 6

Retired (New York, NY)

Age: 60 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I am older and have served my time; a fair review can greatly help older reformed individuals like me.
  • I appreciate the flexibility the policy introduces.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 6

Student (Miami, FL)

Age: 23 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It's inspiring to have a tangible way to end my supervised release ahead of schedule based on my current conduct.
  • The policy supports people who genuinely want to reform.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 9 7
Year 3 9 7
Year 5 9 8
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 9 8

Social Worker (Chicago, IL)

Age: 50 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy could help many of my clients reintegrate faster, turning their lives around.
  • It’s necessary to offer pathways for those showing dedication to change.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 7

Tech Support Specialist (Houston, TX)

Age: 38 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • By allowing early termination, it can lessen the burden on people who are already working towards reintegration.
  • Every case deserves a unique look to ensure fair treatment.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 7

Librarian (Seattle, WA)

Age: 41 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It will be interesting to see how this policy changes the landscape for supervised release and recidivism rates.
  • Reform is crucial for fair justice systems.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 6 5

Freelance Writer (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 29 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy's success will depend on how effectively it can be implemented within existing budget constraints.
  • Offering early terminations could make transitions smoother for those already reintegrating.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 6 5

Retired Teacher (Boston, MA)

Age: 55 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Early termination needs strong safeguards to ensure community safety while supporting reformed individuals.
  • The individualized assessments if done thoroughly are a positive step.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $25000000 (Low: $15000000, High: $35000000)

Year 2: $20000000 (Low: $10000000, High: $30000000)

Year 3: $15000000 (Low: $5000000, High: $25000000)

Year 5: $12000000 (Low: $2000000, High: $22000000)

Year 10: $10000000 (Low: $0, High: $20000000)

Year 100: $5000000 (Low: $-5000000, High: $15000000)

Key Considerations