Bill Overview
Title: A bill to establish a temporary commission to develop a consensus and actionable recommendations on a comprehensive grand strategy with respect to the United States relationship with the People's Republic of China for purposes of ensuring a holistic approach toward the People's Republic of China across all Federal departments and agencies.
Description: This bill establishes the China Grand Strategy Commission to develop a consensus on a strategy and whole-of-government approach regarding U.S. relations with China.
Sponsors: Sen. King, Angus S., Jr. [I-ME]
Target Audience
Population: People impacted by US-China relations strategy
Estimated Size: 331000000
- The US federal government is a key stakeholder as the bill mandates a whole-of-government approach.
- US citizens could be indirectly impacted by changes in foreign policy towards China, affecting trade, security, and diplomatic relations.
- Chinese citizens might also be indirectly affected by shifts in US policies but they are not the primary target of US legislation.
- Various sectors such as trade, defense, and technology are likely to see direct policy impacts.
Reasoning
- The budget of $1 billion over ten years indicates a significant investment, yet not exhaustive for a policy influencing such a large area as US-China relations.
- Due to the broad reach of US-China relations, the indirect impact on US citizens will vary greatly depending on their job sector, geographic location, and personal background.
- US government employees involved in China-related policies will likely experience a medium to high impact in terms of changing job priorities and potential job satisfaction.
- Changes in trade policies could moderately affect those employed in manufacturing and technology sectors, while general public sentiments on international relations might wield low indirect impact.
- The commonness scale should skew toward everyday citizens who will perceive indirect effects but not major life changes, while the individuals working directly in related sectors or government will witness higher impacts but are fewer.
Simulated Interviews
Government Policy Analyst (Washington, D.C.)
Age: 34 | Gender: female
Wellbeing Before Policy: 7
Duration of Impact: 20.0 years
Commonness: 3/20
Statement of Opinion:
- I believe this commission will streamline our strategy concerning China and provide clarity for policymakers.
- It might increase job security for me since it indicates a stronger focus on my area of expertise.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 8 | 7 |
| Year 2 | 8 | 7 |
| Year 3 | 8 | 7 |
| Year 5 | 9 | 7 |
| Year 10 | 9 | 7 |
| Year 20 | 9 | 7 |
Tech Company Developer (Los Angeles, CA)
Age: 29 | Gender: male
Wellbeing Before Policy: 6
Duration of Impact: 10.0 years
Commonness: 5/20
Statement of Opinion:
- I’m concerned that changes in relations with China could impact my current projects.
- If this policy stabilizes trade policies, it might be helpful.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 6 | 6 |
| Year 2 | 7 | 6 |
| Year 3 | 7 | 6 |
| Year 5 | 7 | 6 |
| Year 10 | 8 | 5 |
| Year 20 | 8 | 5 |
Automobile Manufacturing Worker (Detroit, MI)
Age: 48 | Gender: female
Wellbeing Before Policy: 5
Duration of Impact: 10.0 years
Commonness: 7/20
Statement of Opinion:
- I hope this policy leads to more stable auto industry conditions with predictable trade regulations.
- It could mean job stability for us here in Detroit.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 6 | 5 |
| Year 2 | 6 | 5 |
| Year 3 | 7 | 5 |
| Year 5 | 7 | 4 |
| Year 10 | 7 | 4 |
| Year 20 | 6 | 4 |
Retired (Des Moines, IA)
Age: 62 | Gender: female
Wellbeing Before Policy: 6
Duration of Impact: 5.0 years
Commonness: 12/20
Statement of Opinion:
- As someone retired, I don't see much direct impact, but I'm interested in how it will unfold.
- The policy might improve national security, which could ease concerns.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 6 | 6 |
| Year 2 | 6 | 6 |
| Year 3 | 6 | 6 |
| Year 5 | 7 | 6 |
| Year 10 | 6 | 5 |
| Year 20 | 6 | 5 |
Oil & Gas Industry Executive (Houston, TX)
Age: 40 | Gender: male
Wellbeing Before Policy: 7
Duration of Impact: 15.0 years
Commonness: 4/20
Statement of Opinion:
- Stability in US-China relations is crucial for our international projects.
- This commission could help clarify future dealings.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 8 | 7 |
| Year 2 | 8 | 7 |
| Year 3 | 8 | 7 |
| Year 5 | 9 | 6 |
| Year 10 | 9 | 6 |
| Year 20 | 9 | 5 |
International Trade Consultant (Seattle, WA)
Age: 55 | Gender: male
Wellbeing Before Policy: 8
Duration of Impact: 20.0 years
Commonness: 3/20
Statement of Opinion:
- This policy could streamline the business advice I provide to clients.
- It might enhance my career prospects by necessitating constant up-to-date knowledge.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 8 | 8 |
| Year 2 | 8 | 8 |
| Year 3 | 9 | 8 |
| Year 5 | 9 | 7 |
| Year 10 | 9 | 7 |
| Year 20 | 9 | 7 |
Graduate Student (Boston, MA)
Age: 23 | Gender: female
Wellbeing Before Policy: 8
Duration of Impact: 5.0 years
Commonness: 10/20
Statement of Opinion:
- I'm excited as this policy could enhance my study's relevance and potentially job prospects.
- It could lead to more research opportunities in the area of US-China dynamics.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 8 | 8 |
| Year 2 | 8 | 8 |
| Year 3 | 9 | 8 |
| Year 5 | 9 | 8 |
| Year 10 | 9 | 8 |
| Year 20 | 8 | 8 |
Financial Analyst (Chicago, IL)
Age: 45 | Gender: male
Wellbeing Before Policy: 7
Duration of Impact: 10.0 years
Commonness: 6/20
Statement of Opinion:
- Stable US-China relations can lead to better investment climates.
- This commission may help me project confidence in our international strategies.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 8 | 7 |
| Year 2 | 8 | 7 |
| Year 3 | 8 | 7 |
| Year 5 | 8 | 7 |
| Year 10 | 8 | 6 |
| Year 20 | 7 | 6 |
Journalist (New York, NY)
Age: 30 | Gender: other
Wellbeing Before Policy: 7
Duration of Impact: 15.0 years
Commonness: 4/20
Statement of Opinion:
- This policy might provide more material and insight into US-China relations, enhancing my reporting.
- I hope it leads to clear government positions that I can critically analyze.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 8 | 7 |
| Year 2 | 8 | 7 |
| Year 3 | 9 | 7 |
| Year 5 | 9 | 7 |
| Year 10 | 9 | 7 |
| Year 20 | 9 | 6 |
Software Engineer (San Francisco, CA)
Age: 50 | Gender: female
Wellbeing Before Policy: 6
Duration of Impact: 10.0 years
Commonness: 5/20
Statement of Opinion:
- Policies affecting China are pivotal because they could alter project dynamics in my field.
- I hope this commission helps streamline US strategies and affect trade policies positively.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 7 | 6 |
| Year 2 | 8 | 6 |
| Year 3 | 8 | 6 |
| Year 5 | 8 | 5 |
| Year 10 | 8 | 5 |
| Year 20 | 7 | 4 |
Cost Estimates
Year 1: $100000000 (Low: $80000000, High: $120000000)
Year 2: $100000000 (Low: $80000000, High: $120000000)
Year 3: $100000000 (Low: $80000000, High: $120000000)
Year 5: $100000000 (Low: $80000000, High: $120000000)
Year 10: $100000000 (Low: $80000000, High: $120000000)
Year 100: $100000000 (Low: $80000000, High: $120000000)
Key Considerations
- The bill is primarily strategic, focusing on consensus building across federal entities.
- There is an indirect impact potential on various US sectors depending on resultant strategy directions.
- Budgetary allocations must cover a range of activities including research, personnel, and inter-agency coordination efforts.