Policy Impact Analysis - 117/S/5018

Bill Overview

Title: DHS Restrictions on Confucius Institutes and Chinese Entities of Concern Act

Description: This bill restricts funding to an institution of higher education (IHE) that has a relationship with a Chinese entity of concern or Confucius Institute. A Confucius Institute is a cultural institute directly or indirectly funded by the Chinese government. Specifically, the Department of Homeland Security (DHS) must ensure that an IHE that has awarded a contract to, entered into an agreement with, or received an in-kind donation or gift from a Chinese entity of concern or Confucius Institute is ineligible to receive specified funds from DHS. The IHE may regain eligibility for these funds if it terminates the relationship.

Sponsors: Sen. Scott, Rick [R-FL]

Target Audience

Population: Students, faculty, and staff at higher education institutions with Confucius Institute affiliations

Estimated Size: 250000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

University Professor (California)

Age: 45 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I believe Confucius Institutes offer valuable cultural insights and educational resources.
  • Restricting funding might lead to a reduction in the resources available for our department.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 8
Year 2 6 8
Year 3 6 8
Year 5 5 8
Year 10 5 8
Year 20 5 8

University Student (New York)

Age: 20 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 18/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I appreciate the language exchange programs offered by Confucius Institutes.
  • Losing access to these resources feels limiting for students interested in Asian studies.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 5 7
Year 5 5 7
Year 10 5 7
Year 20 5 7

Researcher (Texas)

Age: 33 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 7.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy limits our collaborative research opportunities with international partners.
  • Funding disruptions could slow down or halt ongoing projects.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 6
Year 2 4 6
Year 3 5 6
Year 5 5 6
Year 10 5 6
Year 20 5 6

Assistant Professor (Illinois)

Age: 29 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Our institution already severed ties with a Confucius Institute.
  • The policy won't affect us, but it highlights ongoing geopolitical tensions.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

University Administrator (Washington)

Age: 54 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Our goal is to manage these transitions smoothly without significant disruption to student programs.
  • We'll prioritize finding alternative partnerships to sustain international efforts.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 5 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 6 5

Retired (Florida)

Age: 58 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I don't see much impact personally, but it's interesting geopolitically.
  • This policy is part of broader national security concerns.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Graduate Student (Massachusetts)

Age: 26 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 4.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I depend on the resources provided through our Confucius Institute.
  • It's disheartening to see such valuable cultural exchanges under threat.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 5 7
Year 5 5 7
Year 10 5 7
Year 20 5 7

Journalist (North Carolina)

Age: 41 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy highlights the intersection of education and geopolitics.
  • Institutions will face tough choices, affecting their global engagement strategies.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Tech Entrepreneur (Oregon)

Age: 39 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Such policies may create barriers to cultural understanding.
  • My business values international perspectives, which are nurtured by exchanges provided by Confucius Institutes.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 8
Year 2 7 8
Year 3 7 8
Year 5 7 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

PhD Student (Colorado)

Age: 32 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 17/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Access to diverse views and materials is crucial for my research.
  • These changes limit the international scope of education.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 5 7
Year 5 5 7
Year 10 5 7
Year 20 5 7

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $5000000 (Low: $3000000, High: $7000000)

Year 2: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 3: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 5: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 10: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 100: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Key Considerations