Policy Impact Analysis - 117/S/5017

Bill Overview

Title: Repealing the Ill-Conceived and Problematic (RIP) Book Minimum Tax Act

Description: This bill repeals the 15% alternative minimum tax on corporations enacted by the Inflation Reduction Act of 2022.

Sponsors: Sen. Barrasso, John [R-WY]

Target Audience

Population: People affected by large corporations shifting their financial strategies

Estimated Size: 200000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Financial Analyst (New York, NY)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I think repealing this tax will allow our company to invest more in growth and innovation.
  • As a shareholder, I expect to see our dividends increase.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 9 7
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 9 6
Year 20 9 6

Software Engineer (Austin, TX)

Age: 39 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 1.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I don't think this change in corporate tax policy will affect my job or personal finances directly.
  • I hope any corporate investments passed down to tech would bring more stability.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

Small Business Owner (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 32 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • These changes seem to benefit companies much larger than mine.
  • Perhaps lower corporate taxes could eventually lower costs for suppliers we work with.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Corporate Lawyer (Chicago, IL)

Age: 28 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The repeal will make financial planning easier for the clients I help, improving their profitability.
  • It might lead to an increase in business as companies adjust their strategies.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 7 7

Retired (Atlanta, GA)

Age: 54 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • From an investment perspective, reducing corporate taxes can increase the value of my portfolio.
  • I expect some short-term gains, but unsure about long-term impacts.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 7 5

Recent College Graduate (Miami, FL)

Age: 25 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy change doesn't feel directly relevant to my situation right now.
  • If corporations hire more, it could mean more opportunities for me down the line.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 6 5

Tech Executive (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 50 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Repealing the tax frees up capital for innovation and expansion in key tech areas.
  • Could lead to new opportunities and increased profitability.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 9 7
Year 5 9 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 7 6

Public School Teacher (Denver, CO)

Age: 60 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 20/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Corporate tax rates don't typically impact funding or policies within education directly.
  • Any economic improvements could potentially benefit public funding, though indirectly.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Health Insurance Analyst (Boston, MA)

Age: 41 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • If corporations invest more in employee benefits, it could affect healthcare strategies.
  • Tax policies indirectly influence the economic landscape we operate in.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 6

Environmental Scientist (Seattle, WA)

Age: 34 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • More profits might mean worse environmental outcomes if investing less in compliance.
  • Concerned that tax savings might not be directed towards sustainable practices.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 5 5
Year 5 5 5
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 5 5

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $10000000000 (Low: $8000000000, High: $12000000000)

Year 2: $10200000000 (Low: $8200000000, High: $12500000000)

Year 3: $10400000000 (Low: $8400000000, High: $13000000000)

Year 5: $10800000000 (Low: $8800000000, High: $13500000000)

Year 10: $11600000000 (Low: $9500000000, High: $15000000000)

Year 100: $15000000000 (Low: $12500000000, High: $17500000000)

Key Considerations