Policy Impact Analysis - 117/S/5007

Bill Overview

Title: Emergency Conservation Program Improvement Act of 2022

Description: This bill revises the Emergency Conservation Program and the Emergency Forest Restoration Program to provide agricultural producers and owners of nonindustrial private forest land impacted by natural disasters the option to receive an advance on cost-sharing payments before carrying out emergency measures. The bill also expands eligibility for payments under the programs to include emergency measures to address damages caused by (1) a wildfire that is not caused naturally if the damage is caused by the spread of the wildfire due to natural causes, and (2) a wildfire that is caused by the federal government.

Sponsors: Sen. Fischer, Deb [R-NE]

Target Audience

Population: Agricultural producers and owners of nonindustrial private forestland impacted by natural disasters

Estimated Size: 2000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Farmer (California)

Age: 44 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Wildfires have severely affected my farm. Access to advance payments would help stabilize my financial situation.
  • Currently, it's challenging to implement necessary repairs promptly due to lack of upfront funds.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 7 4
Year 3 7 4
Year 5 6 4
Year 10 5 3
Year 20 5 3

Nonindustrial private forest owner (Florida)

Age: 58 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Hurricanes cause significant damage to my forest land almost annually. The advance payments from this program could help rapidly address damage issues.
  • I'm worried about how the policy handles repeated disaster impacts.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 4
Year 2 6 4
Year 3 7 4
Year 5 6 3
Year 10 5 2
Year 20 4 2

Ranch owner (Texas)

Age: 35 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 1.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy targets wildfire issues more than drought, which is my main concern.
  • While it's good for others, it doesn't address my immediate problems.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 5 4
Year 10 4 3
Year 20 4 3

Small-scale organic farmer (Oregon)

Age: 28 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I believe this policy is crucial for those affected by disasters, but it doesn't apply to my current situation.
  • Having the option of advance payments could provide peace of mind.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 6 6

Forest Landowner (Montana)

Age: 47 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Fire damage severely impacted my land, mostly due to federal land fire policies.
  • Advance payments could help me restore the land quicker after a fire.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 4
Year 2 6 4
Year 3 6 3
Year 5 5 3
Year 10 4 3
Year 20 4 3

Farmer (Alabama)

Age: 62 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 3

Duration of Impact: 6.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The flooding destroys crops annually, and I'm hopeful this act can provide immediate funds to mitigate such damage.
  • While it's beneficial, long-term solutions are still needed.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 3
Year 2 5 3
Year 3 6 3
Year 5 5 3
Year 10 5 2
Year 20 5 2

Fruit orchard owner (Colorado)

Age: 50 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 11/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Impacts seem less for fruit orchards from wildfires directly.
  • The policy could be useful if wildfire risks increase in the future.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 5 5

Community-supported agriculture (CSA) farmer (Washington)

Age: 33 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • While not directly impacted much by fires, flood damage affects our logistics and crop yield.
  • Having advance payments could bolster resilience for future impacts.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 6 4
Year 20 5 4

Ranch owner (Arizona)

Age: 55 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 13/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy doesn't directly benefit me much as wildfires aren't the biggest threat here.
  • I see benefits for others but lack of relevance to my situation.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Farmer (Nebraska)

Age: 42 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 4.0 years

Commonness: 16/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Severe weather causes significant crop loss annually, and I am optimistic about the policy helping offset some financial burdens.
  • Immediate financial assistance could stabilize operations temporarily.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 7 4
Year 5 6 4
Year 10 5 3
Year 20 5 3

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $500000000 (Low: $450000000, High: $550000000)

Year 2: $500000000 (Low: $450000000, High: $550000000)

Year 3: $500000000 (Low: $450000000, High: $550000000)

Year 5: $500000000 (Low: $450000000, High: $550000000)

Year 10: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 100: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Key Considerations