Policy Impact Analysis - 117/S/4981

Bill Overview

Title: Gang Activity Reporting Act of 2022

Description: This bill requires the Department of Justice to report on gang activity, reporting, investigation, and prosecution.

Sponsors: Sen. Grassley, Chuck [R-IA]

Target Audience

Population: people living in communities with significant gang activity

Estimated Size: 20000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Store Manager (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 25 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy could make my neighborhood safer as there might be increased police activity.
  • I'm hopeful but also worried about potential racial profiling and increased tension.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 6 4

Community Organizer (Chicago, IL)

Age: 32 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy could bring more data which might help but needs to be paired with community programs.
  • Worried about more policing instead of preventive measures.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 4
Year 2 5 4
Year 3 6 4
Year 5 6 4
Year 10 7 4
Year 20 6 3

Police Officer (New York, NY)

Age: 41 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Enhances our ability to gather intelligence and act proactively.
  • Bracing for the workload increase but hopeful about long-term impact.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 9 5
Year 20 9 5

College Student (Detroit, MI)

Age: 19 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I am indifferent to the policy as my campus life feels detached from it.
  • If it does reduce crime, it could improve area reputation and my peace of mind.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 5 5

Software Developer (Houston, TX)

Age: 29 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • My everyday life isn’t directly impacted, but any reduction in gang activity would probably improve my quality of life.
  • Concern over potential increase in neighborhood tensions if law enforcement activities rise sharply.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 6 4

Public Policy Analyst (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 52 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy creates important data points for further analysis and reform.
  • Crucial to watch how data translates into actions on the ground.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 6

High School Teacher (Miami, FL)

Age: 45 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • A focused report could highlight areas needing educational interventions.
  • Fear that increased policing could scare students away from attending school.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 6 4

Small Business Owner (Newark, NJ)

Age: 50 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 13/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Improving safety could directly boost my business prospects.
  • Concerned about increased security measures affecting customer footfall.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 4
Year 2 6 4
Year 3 6 4
Year 5 7 4
Year 10 7 3
Year 20 6 3

Nurse (Baltimore, MD)

Age: 37 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 11/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Increased reporting might help address structural violence issues.
  • Policies leading to more arrests can also overwhelm ER services.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 4
Year 2 5 4
Year 3 6 4
Year 5 6 4
Year 10 6 4
Year 20 5 4

Academic Researcher (Phoenix, AZ)

Age: 30 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The bill can be a bridge to better understanding gang dynamics nationwide.
  • Great potential for using data to support comprehensive community responses.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 9 6

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $10000000 (Low: $7000000, High: $13000000)

Year 2: $9000000 (Low: $6000000, High: $12000000)

Year 3: $8500000 (Low: $5000000, High: $11500000)

Year 5: $8000000 (Low: $4500000, High: $11000000)

Year 10: $7500000 (Low: $4000000, High: $10500000)

Year 100: $7000000 (Low: $3500000, High: $10000000)

Key Considerations