Policy Impact Analysis - 117/S/4969

Bill Overview

Title: Athlete Opportunity and Taxpayer Integrity Act

Description: This bill denies a tax deduction for contributions (except contributions made directly to certain institutions of higher education) used to compensate one or more secondary or post-secondary school athletes for the use of their names, images, or likenesses by reason of their status as athletes.

Sponsors: Sen. Thune, John [R-SD]

Target Audience

Population: Secondary and post-secondary school athletes and relevant donors

Estimated Size: 3000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Collegiate Student-Athlete (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 20 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • NIL deals are a vital part of my collegiate experience financially.
  • This policy makes it harder for small donors to contribute to athlete sponsors.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 5 7
Year 5 5 7
Year 10 4 7
Year 20 4 6

High School Student-Athlete (Dallas, TX)

Age: 18 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I think this policy will not impact me directly, as I'm not earning through NIL yet. But, it can affect future opportunities if donations drop.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 7 8
Year 5 7 8
Year 10 7 8
Year 20 7 7

Private Donor and Sports Enthusiast (Chicago, IL)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I reconsidered my donations. Without tax perks, my affordability to support athlete programs lessened drastically.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 5 7
Year 3 5 7
Year 5 4 6
Year 10 4 6
Year 20 3 5

Administrative Staff at University (Boston, MA)

Age: 40 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • We might see a reduction in donor contributions impacting team resources, even if my role doesn't change broadly.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 5 6
Year 5 5 6
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 5 5

Professional Athlete (Miami, FL)

Age: 22 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Moving into professional space, but partnered college athletes might lose some benefits. This act could stymie forthcoming players' opportunities.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 8
Year 2 7 8
Year 3 6 8
Year 5 6 8
Year 10 6 7
Year 20 5 6

High School Athlete (Atlanta, GA)

Age: 17 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • My main focus is obtaining a scholarship. NIL hasn't been a part of my strategy so far. The policy feels distant currently.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Sports Marketer (New York, NY)

Age: 30 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 7.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Definitely a dampener on prospects for future client contracts. Tax incentives drove many collaborations between athletes and brands.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 5 7
Year 5 5 7
Year 10 4 6
Year 20 4 6

High School Athletics Coach (Charlotte, NC)

Age: 50 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 4.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This might limit what coaches can leverage for student-athlete development. But it's more of a broader ecosystem issue than immediate.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 6 7
Year 5 6 7
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 5 6

Retired, Former College Athlete (Phoenix, AZ)

Age: 55 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I support athletes getting compensated, but removing tax incentives seems an odd approach. It might hurt more than help.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 5 6
Year 5 5 6
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 4 5

Tax Consultant (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 28 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This legislation complicates advising clients on tax-efficient ways to support college athletes. Adjusting strategies will be needed.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 5 7
Year 5 5 7
Year 10 5 6
Year 20 4 6

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $3000000 (Low: $2000000, High: $4000000)

Year 2: $3000000 (Low: $2000000, High: $4000000)

Year 3: $3000000 (Low: $2000000, High: $4000000)

Year 5: $3000000 (Low: $2000000, High: $4000000)

Year 10: $3000000 (Low: $2000000, High: $4000000)

Year 100: $3000000 (Low: $2000000, High: $4000000)

Key Considerations