Policy Impact Analysis - 117/S/4957

Bill Overview

Title: A bill to require the Secretary of the Army to establish sex-neutral high fitness standards for combat Military Occupational Specialties (MOSs).

Description: This bill requires the Department of the Army to establish sex-neutral fitness standards for combat Military Occupational Specialties (MOSs) that are higher than those for non-combat MOSs and brief Congress on the established combat MOSs and the methodology for determining such MOSs.

Sponsors: Sen. Ernst, Joni [R-IA]

Target Audience

Population: Individuals in or aspiring to be in combat roles in armed forces worldwide

Estimated Size: 150000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Infantry Officer (Ft. Bragg, NC)

Age: 25 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I believe the new policy will help ensure everyone meets the necessary standards for combat roles.
  • There might be some growing pains as people adapt to new fitness requirements, but overall it's a positive change.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 6

Military Trainer (Ft. Hood, TX)

Age: 30 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy could challenge some soldiers, especially those who are not primarily designated for combat roles.
  • Implementing sex-neutral standards requires a rethinking of our training programs and resources.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 6 5

Aspiring Combat Medic (Colorado Springs, CO)

Age: 22 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I am preparing to meet the new standards, which I hope will make me a stronger soldier.
  • It's daunting, but having clear expectations is helpful.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 6 5

Recruitment Officer (San Diego, CA)

Age: 28 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The new policy may initially deter some recruits, but it ultimately emphasizes the importance of being combat-ready.
  • We'll need to make sure that applicants understand the requirements from the start.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Policy Analyst (Arlington, VA)

Age: 35 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This is an important step for gender-neutral equality within our forces.
  • The policy should enhance our readiness and effectiveness in combat roles.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 9 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

Current Combat Medic (El Paso, TX)

Age: 24 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 13/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I welcome the new requirements as it reflects what we already practice in field conditions.
  • Some of my peers may struggle, but the support is generally positive.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 6

Army Reserve (Washington, DC)

Age: 40 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 4.0 years

Commonness: 11/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • These changes make sense for active-duty combat roles, but could be tricky for reserve components like mine.
  • Failure to implement could lead to readiness issues, especially for reservists transitioning to active roles.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 5 5

Psychologist specializing in military personnel (Atlanta, GA)

Age: 33 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Psychologically, higher standards can boost morale and foster a sense of accomplishment.
  • However, the stress of meeting new fitness goals could also affect mental health in the short term.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Army National Guard (Chicago, IL)

Age: 29 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 16/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The new standards make our forces more uniform and efficient, especially if we are called to active duty.
  • For non-combat roles like mine, there's little direct impact unless mobilized.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Civilian Contractor for Military Training (Seattle, WA)

Age: 37 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 6.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The transition to sex-neutral standards aligns with our broader societal shifts towards equality.
  • Training programs will need compelling updates to communicate these changes effectively.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 9 8
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 7 7

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $7500000 (Low: $5000000, High: $10000000)

Year 2: $5000000 (Low: $4000000, High: $7000000)

Year 3: $4000000 (Low: $3000000, High: $6000000)

Year 5: $3000000 (Low: $2500000, High: $4500000)

Year 10: $2000000 (Low: $1500000, High: $3000000)

Year 100: $500000 (Low: $200000, High: $1000000)

Key Considerations