Policy Impact Analysis - 117/S/4954

Bill Overview

Title: Farm Credit for Americans Act of 2022

Description: This bill makes foreign persons ineligible for any credit or financial services provided by a Farm Credit System institution, with specified exceptions. The bill takes effect on January 1, 2024.

Sponsors: Sen. Grassley, Chuck [R-IA]

Target Audience

Population: Foreign persons utilizing Farm Credit System services

Estimated Size: 0

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Farm Owner (Fresno, CA)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I don't think this is going to affect my operations directly. It might even help lessen competition, which means better prices for inputs.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 7 7

Agricultural Consultant (Iowa City, IA)

Age: 35 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This could mean fewer foreign operators in the game, freeing up more opportunities for local farmers.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Farm Equipment Supplier (San Antonio, TX)

Age: 60 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This might slow business with my international clients who rely on these credits.
  • I might need to shift focus to domestic farmers if they expand.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 7 6

Investment Analyst (Miami, FL)

Age: 50 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 2/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • My concern is the potential reduction in opportunities for international investment collaborations.
  • Monitoring legislative adjustments becomes crucial.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

International Agricultural Trade Lawyer (Seattle, WA)

Age: 27 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy might reduce the scale of operations for some of our international clients.
  • We might see an increase in compliance advisory demand.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 5 6

Corn Farmer (Des Moines, IA)

Age: 52 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I don't see any direct impact for us since we don't deal with foreign credits.
  • Though, monitoring how this shifts the competitive landscape will be key.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Soybean Exporter (St. Louis, MO)

Age: 40 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This might reduce some of our foreign partners' capacities.
  • However, domestic growth might counterbalance this.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 8
Year 2 7 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

Business Analyst for a Global AgriTech Firm (New York, NY)

Age: 32 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • We're analyzing to see how this policy affects foreign clients reliant on these credits.
  • There's potential for policy-driven advisory services boosting demand.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 6 7

CEO of an Agribusiness Consulting Firm (Tulsa, OK)

Age: 49 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Loss of clientele from foreign entities could mean a dip in short-term revenues.
  • Might need to pivot strategies towards more domestic clientele.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Startup Founder in Renewable Farming (Atlanta, GA)

Age: 28 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 1/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • International funding might get tighter with restrictions on credit access.
  • Will need to find alternative partnerships if current clients are affected.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 8
Year 2 7 8
Year 3 7 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $0 (Low: $0, High: $1000000)

Year 2: $0 (Low: $0, High: $1000000)

Year 3: $0 (Low: $0, High: $1000000)

Year 5: $0 (Low: $0, High: $1000000)

Year 10: $0 (Low: $0, High: $1000000)

Year 100: $0 (Low: $0, High: $1000000)

Key Considerations