Policy Impact Analysis - 117/S/4947

Bill Overview

Title: Defense EXPORTS Act

Description: This bill provides funding to (1) develop program protection strategies for Department of Defense systems that may be exported, (2) design and incorporate exportability features into such systems during the research and development phases of such systems, and (3) integrate design features that enhance interoperability of such systems with those of friendly foreign countries.

Sponsors: Sen. Shaheen, Jeanne [D-NH]

Target Audience

Population: People involved in or impacted by the export and foreign acquisition of U.S. defense systems

Estimated Size: 500000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Defense Contractor Engineer (Fort Worth, TX)

Age: 45 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy could provide my team with more resources for international projects.
  • Ensuring interoperability might mean more work but also more job security.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 9 6
Year 20 8 6

Compliance Specialist (Arlington, VA)

Age: 38 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy means stricter compliance standards, which could increase workload.
  • Long-term, it might streamline interactions by reducing political barriers.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 8 4
Year 20 7 4

Researcher (California)

Age: 25 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Increased funding could open up new research opportunities.
  • I worry about the shifting focus towards exports rather than domestic security.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 4
Year 5 5 4
Year 10 4 3
Year 20 4 3

Military Strategist (St. Louis, MO)

Age: 52 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This could significantly improve our military collaborations.
  • However, it might strain the budget for other domestic defense needs.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 7 5

Defense Industry Compliance Auditor (Seattle, WA)

Age: 30 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Policy might lead to stricter audits and more complex compliance landscapes.
  • Job security could be improved as demand for auditing increases.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 7 4

Software Developer (Boston, MA)

Age: 29 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The new funding could accelerate projects I'm passionate about.
  • It's exciting to be part of projects with international impact.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 9 8
Year 3 9 8
Year 5 10 8
Year 10 10 7
Year 20 9 6

Defense Policy Analyst (Colorado Springs, CO)

Age: 60 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy aligns with enhancing global defense diplomacy.
  • There's a risk of prioritizing exports over domestic security needs.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 6 4

Defense Manufacturing Planner (San Diego, CA)

Age: 40 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Policy will likely bring more business and stabilize contracts.
  • I worry about over-reliance on foreign economies.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 6 4
Year 3 7 4
Year 5 7 4
Year 10 8 3
Year 20 7 3

Community Leader (Newport News, VA)

Age: 42 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy can bring economic benefits to our community through new contracts.
  • Past policy shifts have led to economic instability.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 7 4
Year 20 6 4

Electrical Engineer (Huntsville, AL)

Age: 50 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This bill strengthens our global standing through enhanced system compatibility.
  • I'm concerned about the pressure to cut costs and timelines.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 9 5
Year 20 7 4

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $500000000 (Low: $400000000, High: $600000000)

Year 2: $520000000 (Low: $415000000, High: $625000000)

Year 3: $540800000 (Low: $431000000, High: $651000000)

Year 5: $583488000 (Low: $465941600, High: $704268800)

Year 10: $706897855 (Low: $564182285, High: $854617425)

Year 100: $14069003749 (Low: $11255203096, High: $17082804449)

Key Considerations