Policy Impact Analysis - 117/S/4946

Bill Overview

Title: Payments Modernization Act of 2022

Description: This bill requires the Federal Reserve Board to create a real-time payment system that allows funds to be available to any end user immediately at any time, including funds deposited at a depository institution.

Sponsors: Sen. Van Hollen, Chris [D-MD]

Target Audience

Population: People who use banking or financial services worldwide

Estimated Size: 315000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Freelance Graphic Designer (New York, NY)

Age: 31 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I think this policy is beneficial. As a freelancer, having immediate access to funds from clients can help me manage my cash flow more effectively.
  • Waiting for transactions to process sometimes delays my ability to pay for services or purchase materials quickly.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Software Engineer (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 25 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I believe the modernization of payments is long overdue, especially for digital natives like myself.
  • Instant access to my funds would definitely enhance my day-to-day financial management.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 9 8
Year 2 9 8
Year 3 9 8
Year 5 9 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 7

Farmer (Rural Kansas)

Age: 54 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 2/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I don't use banking services extensively, but immediate fund availability could help when purchasing farm supplies.
  • Faster payments might help when dealing with vendors.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 5 5
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 5 5

Small Business Owner (Chicago, IL)

Age: 42 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This is a great move; having instant access to funds could make a big difference in managing expenses.
  • Real-time payments would enable me to pay suppliers promptly, improving business operations.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 6
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 6 6

Retired (Miami, FL)

Age: 60 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Immediate access to my pension payments would be convenient, though I don't require it very often.
  • It's nice to see progress in banking technology.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 5 5

Tech Startup Founder (Austin, TX)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Fast payments are crucial for my business lifeline; this move by the Federal Reserve is very welcome.
  • Can positively affect how quickly we can maneuver financially, essential for survival and growth.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 9 7
Year 2 9 7
Year 3 9 7
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 6 6

Corporate Accountant (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 38 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • From an accounting perspective, real-time payments improve cash handling and forecasting.
  • This policy should make transaction management less complex and more streamlined.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 6 6

Remote Worker (Seattle, WA)

Age: 28 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Instant payments would remove the stress of timing paycheck arrivals.
  • Would help manage my expenses without constant buffering of funds between obligations.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 6
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 6 6

School Teacher (Atlanta, GA)

Age: 50 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Immediate access to my salary is nice, though not a necessity for me as incomes are predictable.
  • Could be useful in emergencies.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 5 5

Undergraduate Student (Portland, OR)

Age: 22 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 4.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Real-time access to funds would help when juggling part-time work and school expenses.
  • It makes managing my finances a lot less stressful.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 5
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 6 5

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $700000000 (Low: $500000000, High: $900000000)

Year 2: $650000000 (Low: $450000000, High: $850000000)

Year 3: $600000000 (Low: $400000000, High: $800000000)

Year 5: $550000000 (Low: $350000000, High: $750000000)

Year 10: $300000000 (Low: $100000000, High: $500000000)

Year 100: $100000000 (Low: $50000000, High: $150000000)

Key Considerations