Policy Impact Analysis - 117/S/4934

Bill Overview

Title: Domestic Reinvestment Act of 2022

Description: This bill prohibits the Department of Homeland Security (DHS) or any other person from requiring any repayment, recoupment, or offset of certain antidumping and countervailing duties. The bill also requires DHS, within 90 days, to (1) refund any repayment or recoupment of these payments, and (2) fully distribute any antidumping or countervailing duties withheld as an offset by U.S. Customs and Border Protection.

Sponsors: Sen. Graham, Lindsey [R-SC]

Target Audience

Population: U.S. domestic industries benefiting from antidumping and countervailing duties

Estimated Size: 5000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Steel industry manager (Pittsburgh, PA)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 2/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy ensures that our operations remain competitive against unfairly priced imports from countries with heavy subsidies.
  • The refund process alleviates previous financial strain caused by withheld duties, improving cash flow.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 9 5

Textile manufacturer (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 37 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy's financial relief provides a needed cost advantage against cheap foreign textiles.
  • Hopefully, this means less unpredictable pricing shifts and more stable operations.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 7 4
Year 5 7 4
Year 10 6 4
Year 20 6 4

Automotive parts supplier (Detroit, MI)

Age: 52 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • We've been waiting for such a measure to level the playing field against foreign parts suppliers benefiting from favorable tariffs.
  • Reduced duties' repayments definitely improve our liquidity.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 8 5
Year 3 8 5
Year 5 8 4
Year 10 9 4
Year 20 9 3

Agricultural product exporter (Chicago, IL)

Age: 30 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Though not directly about exporting, reducing financial burdens from previous duties helps.
  • We can reinvest savings back into production improvements.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 4
Year 3 7 4
Year 5 6 3
Year 10 5 3
Year 20 5 3

Petrochemicals executive (Houston, TX)

Age: 60 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Having clear guidance and refunds related to duties creates operational certainty.
  • It's a positive step, but further protections could be beneficial.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 7 5

Retail manager (New York, NY)

Age: 28 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Indirect effects through our supply chains, but not a game changer for us.
  • Monitoring any downstream price changes is crucial.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 6 5

Metals industry analyst (Cleveland, OH)

Age: 55 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Policy reduces uncertainty and aids manufacturers in strategic planning.
  • However, broader trade strategy effects need to be considered.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 6 4
Year 20 6 4

Technology company CFO (Seattle, WA)

Age: 42 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Little direct impact, but remains significant for equipment and materials procurement chains.
  • Provides market steadiness in an indirect way.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 7 5

Logistics provider (Phoenix, AZ)

Age: 39 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy indirectly benefits logistical firms by stabilizing operational flows.
  • May result in better demand from clients in affected sectors.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 5 4
Year 5 5 4
Year 10 5 4
Year 20 5 4

Small business owner in furniture manufacturing (Charlotte, NC)

Age: 50 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 4.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • While it mostly impacts larger enterprises, trickle-down effects improve the ecosystem we operate in.
  • Ensures some market protection which is always welcomed.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 6 5

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $5000000 (Low: $4000000, High: $6000000)

Year 2: $5200000 (Low: $4200000, High: $6200000)

Year 3: $5408000 (Low: $4376000, High: $6448000)

Year 5: $5832000 (Low: $4712000, High: $6936000)

Year 10: $6719600 (Low: $5428800, High: $7988000)

Year 100: $27596284 (Low: $22220352, High: $32815448)

Key Considerations