Policy Impact Analysis - 117/S/4897

Bill Overview

Title: Student Loan Reform Act of 2022

Description: This bill makes various changes to the federal student loan system, including by imposing a penalty on institutions of higher education for borrowers who default on student loans and prohibiting new Federal Direct PLUS Loans from being made to student loan borrowers (with an exception for parent borrowers and covered health care students) on or after July 1, 2023. The bill also addresses expressive activities (e.g., peacefully assembling, distributing literature, or carrying signs) on campuses.

Sponsors: Sen. Cotton, Tom [R-AR]

Target Audience

Population: Federal student loan borrowers

Estimated Size: 43000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Graduate student (Austin, TX)

Age: 23 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I am concerned about how the loss of Direct PLUS options will impact my final year of school and beyond.
  • Also worried about how my school might change tuition or services in response to increased pressure.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 5 7
Year 5 6 8
Year 10 7 9
Year 20 7 9

Undergraduate student (Chicago, IL)

Age: 19 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 4.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm a bit worried about how this might limit my future loan options, especially if I need to exceed the cost that Direct subsidized loans cover.
  • Hoping my university won't face penalties that could affect my fees.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 8
Year 5 8 9
Year 10 9 10
Year 20 9 10

Educational administrator (New York, NY)

Age: 30 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm optimistic about this policy encouraging better financial habits among students, but implementation will require more resources from our side.
  • Concerned that penalties might pressure us to prioritize loan servicing over other educational improvements.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 8
Year 2 7 8
Year 3 8 9
Year 5 8 9
Year 10 8 9
Year 20 8 9

Parent of college-bound student (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 48 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I welcome any policies that might curb overall tuition increases because our family needs loans for college tuition.
  • Hoping the provisions around campus freedom of expression are not too disruptive.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 9

Middle school teacher (Houston, TX)

Age: 27 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Given that I graduated a few years back, this policy doesn't affect me directly, but I'm curious how it might affect new teachers entering the workforce.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

College student (Miami, FL)

Age: 22 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 9

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I haven't had to rely on loans yet, so this change doesn't seem to affect me much.
  • I suppose it might affect friends who planned to use PLUS loans, though.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 9 9
Year 2 9 9
Year 3 9 9
Year 5 9 9
Year 10 9 9
Year 20 9 9

Tech worker (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 33 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 1.0 years

Commonness: 2/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm glad I graduated before these changes took effect, but I do worry about future loans for education within this shifting landscape.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 7 8

Financial aid officer (Denver, CO)

Age: 40 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The penalties may provide a necessary jolt to improve default rates, but we've got to stay vigilant about supporting affected students.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 7 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 9
Year 20 8 9

High school senior (Boston, MA)

Age: 18 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 4.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • My main concern is how to afford college without certain loans, though I still have other federal options available.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 8
Year 2 7 8
Year 3 8 9
Year 5 9 9
Year 10 9 10
Year 20 9 10

Intern (Seattle, WA)

Age: 24 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 1.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I am not directly affected but worried about how these changes may alter job markets with pressures on institutions.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 9 9
Year 20 8 9

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $50000000 (Low: $40000000, High: $60000000)

Year 2: $51000000 (Low: $41000000, High: $61000000)

Year 3: $52000000 (Low: $42000000, High: $62000000)

Year 5: $54000000 (Low: $44000000, High: $64000000)

Year 10: $60000000 (Low: $50000000, High: $70000000)

Year 100: $70000000 (Low: $60000000, High: $80000000)

Key Considerations