Policy Impact Analysis - 117/S/4869

Bill Overview

Title: Saving Privacy Act

Description: This bill adjusts certain amounts for inflation, including reporting thresholds applicable to financial transactions, the threshold for the criminal offense of cash smuggling, and tax return thresholds for cash receipts.

Sponsors: Sen. Lee, Mike [R-UT]

Target Audience

Population: Individuals engaged in substantial cash transactions

Estimated Size: 20000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Small business owner (New York, NY)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I've managed to keep my transactions under the reporting threshold to avoid excessive paperwork.
  • This policy might either give me more leeway or force me into new compliance burdens.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 5 4

Freelance graphic designer (Miami, FL)

Age: 32 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy might make it easier to handle my finances without falling afoul of outdated thresholds.
  • I hope it reduces my administrative burdens.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 6 5

Jewelry store owner (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 50 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Adjustments in thresholds might either unburden us or increase regulatory pressure.
  • I'm concerned it might complicate my tax filings if it classifies more of my transactions.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 7 8
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 6 5

Software engineer (Houston, TX)

Age: 28 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 9

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy probably won't affect me unless my crypto gains need specific reporting under cash equivalence rules.
  • It seems more relevant to businesses and cash-heavy industries.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 9 9
Year 2 9 9
Year 3 9 9
Year 5 9 9
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 7

Retired auditor (Chicago, IL)

Age: 60 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 7.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm interested in how this would shift reporting requirements for small to medium businesses.
  • For seasoned professionals, this will require adjustment to new norms.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 6

Business consultant (Seattle, WA)

Age: 39 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 11/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • A policy update like this could simplify some transactions.
  • For clients, this could be seen as freeing or burdensome depending on adjustments.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 8 6

Bank teller (Denver, CO)

Age: 25 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 17/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Adjustments might change our workflow and interactions with frequent cash users.
  • I hope it makes processing smoother for both customers and banks.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 6

Musician (Atlanta, GA)

Age: 37 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • As someone who often receives cash payments, thresholds will directly affect me.
  • I'm optimistic for more financial clarity and less compliance hassle.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 5

Independent art dealer (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 55 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy may make it easier or harder to understand international sales under US law.
  • A renewed threshold could alleviate some of my documentation burdens.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 6

Real estate investor (Columbus, OH)

Age: 42 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I hope these adjustments simplify the transaction reporting for significant cash purchases.
  • This could affect my business strategy if thresholds shift notably.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 9 8
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 9 6

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $500000000 (Low: $400000000, High: $600000000)

Year 2: $200000000 (Low: $150000000, High: $250000000)

Year 3: $200000000 (Low: $150000000, High: $250000000)

Year 5: $200000000 (Low: $150000000, High: $250000000)

Year 10: $100000000 (Low: $75000000, High: $125000000)

Year 100: $10000000 (Low: $5000000, High: $15000000)

Key Considerations