Policy Impact Analysis - 117/S/4818

Bill Overview

Title: A bill to prohibit the use of Federal and local funds to impose or enforce a COVID-19 vaccine mandate in District of Columbia schools, and to repeal the Coronavirus Immunization of School Students and Early Childhood Workers Regulation Amendment Act of 2021 enacted by the District of Columbia Council.

Description: This bill prohibits the District of Columbia (DC) from using federal or local funds to require that students in elementary or secondary schools receive a COVID-19 vaccination. The bill also nullifies the Coronavirus Immunization of School Students and Early Childhood Workers Regulation Amendment Act of 2021 (D.C. Act 24-85), enacted by the DC Council on January 12, 2022.

Sponsors: Sen. Cruz, Ted [R-TX]

Target Audience

Population: Students, parents, school staff, and early childhood workers in the District of Columbia

Estimated Size: 700000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Teacher (Washington, DC)

Age: 45 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I believe health mandates help protect our community, but I understand there's controversy.
  • This repeal could make some teachers anxious about safety in classrooms.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 5 6
Year 5 6 7
Year 10 6 7
Year 20 7 8

Public Health Official (Washington, DC)

Age: 38 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Public health is paramount, and I'm concerned about lower vaccination rates.
  • However, autonomy is important, and this policy respects personal choice.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 8
Year 10 8 9
Year 20 8 9

Parent (Washington, DC)

Age: 35 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • As a parent, I prefer having the choice rather than a mandate imposed.
  • Relieved this policy gives parents more flexibility.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 4
Year 2 7 4
Year 3 7 4
Year 5 7 4
Year 10 7 4
Year 20 7 4

Early Childhood Worker (Washington, DC)

Age: 29 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I understand why some families are against mandates, but children's health is crucial.
  • This policy change could increase risks if vaccination rates drop.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 7
Year 3 6 7
Year 5 6 8
Year 10 7 8
Year 20 7 9

School Administrator (Washington, DC)

Age: 42 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It's a logistical challenge to reverse policies yet keep our community safe.
  • A more cautious approach will be needed to maintain public confidence.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 7
Year 5 7 8
Year 10 7 8
Year 20 8 9

Parent (Washington, DC)

Age: 51 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 7.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy makes me uneasy because my child is at higher risk.
  • It feels like a step back in maintaining safe school environments.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 3 5
Year 2 3 6
Year 3 4 6
Year 5 5 7
Year 10 6 8
Year 20 6 8

College Student (Washington, DC)

Age: 27 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm for personal freedom, but public health needs careful balancing.
  • This repeal shows a shift towards individual responsibility.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 9
Year 20 8 9

Retired Healthcare Worker (Washington, DC)

Age: 60 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 11/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I think mandates can be excessive, but vaccination is important for communal safety.
  • My perspective reflects years of watching public health outcomes.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 9
Year 5 8 9
Year 10 8 9
Year 20 8 9

Private School Teacher (Washington, DC)

Age: 39 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 4.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The absence of mandates won't change my instructions, but may influence student attendance.
  • Health in schools is a priority, and clear guidelines help.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 9

Health Policy Analyst (Washington, DC)

Age: 46 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 9

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Repealing mandated vaccines can lead to broader implications for public health.
  • Data and informed consent are key components of my stance.”

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 9
Year 2 8 9
Year 3 8 9
Year 5 9 9
Year 10 9 10
Year 20 9 10

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $1000000 (Low: $500000, High: $1500000)

Year 2: $1000000 (Low: $500000, High: $1500000)

Year 3: $1000000 (Low: $500000, High: $1500000)

Year 5: $1000000 (Low: $500000, High: $1500000)

Year 10: $1000000 (Low: $500000, High: $1500000)

Year 100: $1000000 (Low: $500000, High: $1500000)

Key Considerations