Policy Impact Analysis - 117/S/4780

Bill Overview

Title: Improving Marine Highway Transportation Act of 2022

Description: This bill modifies the definition of marine highway transportation to include the carriage by a documented vessel of cargo that is bulk, liquid, or loose cargo loaded in tanks, holds, hoppers, or on deck.

Sponsors: Sen. Cruz, Ted [R-TX]

Target Audience

Population: People involved in or reliant on marine highway transportation

Estimated Size: 500000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Port Operations Manager (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 45 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy will likely streamline operations at our port with more defined shipments.
  • I expect to see increased cargo volumes, boosting local economy and my job security.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 7 5

Marine Logistics Specialist (New Orleans, LA)

Age: 50 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The change will enhance our operating capacity and possibly reduce costs.
  • I hope it encourages more companies to use our services.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 5 5

Marine Insurance Underwriter (Miami, FL)

Age: 30 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I think the policy will lead to more shipments requiring insurance services.
  • My job will likely become more complex but also more crucial.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 5 5

Chemical Engineer (Houston, TX)

Age: 40 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 1.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The redefined transport might improve the supply chain, impacting our costs positively.
  • I'm cautiously optimistic about slight operational improvements.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 5 5

Environmental Policy Consultant (Seattle, WA)

Age: 28 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy is a step towards optimizing marine logistics, which can reduce overall emissions.
  • I'm excited to see subsequent policies that may push for more sustainable practices.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 5 6
Year 20 5 5

Freight Broker (Savannah, GA)

Age: 52 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Expansion in cargo definitions might bring increased business for loose cargo.
  • I'm looking forward to seeing higher volumes but worry about more competition.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 6 5

Dock Worker (Norfolk, VA)

Age: 35 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I expect job security to improve with more shipments being redirected through marine lanes.
  • Long-term, I'd hope for wage growth but nothing immediate.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 6 5

Legal Advisor (Chicago, IL)

Age: 60 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I think the changes may complicate regulatory compliance initially before processes are ironed out.
  • Still, the potential for increased demand in regulatory services is a plus.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 5

Small Business Owner (Portland, OR)

Age: 33 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I welcome increased marine shipping options for better pricing despite potential initial hiccups.
  • Hoping for long-term cost savings in our bulk orders.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 5

Port Authority Clerk (Biloxi, MS)

Age: 48 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy should eventually stabilize shipping schedules and compliance, reducing stress in my role.
  • More clarity would be great for our operations and workers.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 4
Year 2 6 4
Year 3 6 4
Year 5 7 4
Year 10 6 4
Year 20 5 4

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $20000000 (Low: $15000000, High: $25000000)

Year 2: $20000000 (Low: $15000000, High: $25000000)

Year 3: $20000000 (Low: $15000000, High: $25000000)

Year 5: $21000000 (Low: $16000000, High: $26000000)

Year 10: $22000000 (Low: $17000000, High: $27000000)

Year 100: $40000000 (Low: $35000000, High: $45000000)

Key Considerations