Policy Impact Analysis - 117/S/4774

Bill Overview

Title: EASE Act of 2022

Description: This bill revises the Reid Vapor Pressure (RVP) requirements to provide for the year-round sale of ethanol-gasoline fuel blends that contain more than 10% denatured anhydrous ethanol. RVP is a metric of gasoline volatility (i.e., how quickly fuel evaporates into the atmosphere). Current law prohibits the sale of gasoline that exceed certain RVP limits during the high ozone season (i.e., the summer months). However, current law provides waivers from this requirement, including a waiver that gives certain ethanol-gasoline fuel blends containing 10% denatured anhydrous ethanol a higher RVP limit under certain conditions. This bill expands the waiver to include ethanol-gasoline fuel blends containing more than 10% of such ethanol, thus allowing year-round sales of such fuel blends.

Sponsors: Sen. Paul, Rand [R-KY]

Target Audience

Population: people impacted by changes to fuel composition regulations

Estimated Size: 100000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Corn farmer (Des Moines, Iowa)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The increased demand for ethanol can tremendously boost my profits.
  • I'm concerned about the environmental impacts of increased corn farming.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 9 6
Year 20 8 5

Environmental scientist (Chicago, Illinois)

Age: 34 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Ethanol is a better alternative to fossil fuels.
  • I worry about the environmental cost of increased corn farming.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 8 5
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 8 4
Year 20 8 4

Gas station owner (Los Angeles, California)

Age: 39 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Introducing more ethanol blends can diversify my fuel offerings.
  • I'm concerned about the costs and infrastructure changes required.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 6 5

Policy analyst (Omaha, Nebraska)

Age: 52 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Ethanol offers a cleaner solution to fossil fuels, but the agricultural demand can harm biodiversity.
  • My work involves assessing such trade-offs daily.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 8 5

Oil refinery engineer (Houston, Texas)

Age: 29 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The switch to more ethanol blends could threaten my job security.
  • There might be opportunities if our facility transitions to ethanol production.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 5 6
Year 10 5 6
Year 20 4 5

Mother of three (Mobile, Alabama)

Age: 30 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • If ethanol blends become cheaper, it will help our budget.
  • I don't know much about ethanol but hope it's safe and beneficial.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 5

School teacher (Minneapolis, Minnesota)

Age: 48 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Ethanol seems a good compromise if it lowers emissions.
  • Educational programs should focus more on sustainable practices.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 7 6

CEO of a public transportation company (New York, New York)

Age: 60 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Increased ethanol consumption might align with our sustainability goals.
  • I'm keen to see how this influences fleet costs and efficiency.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 9 8
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 9 8

Environmental activist (Phoenix, Arizona)

Age: 43 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Ethanol isn't a perfect solution, but a step forward.
  • Concerns remain about agricultural practices affecting climate.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 9 5

Automobile manufacturing specialist (Detroit, Michigan)

Age: 37 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Supporting ethanol aligns with our vehicle capabilities.
  • Market expansion could facilitate job security.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 9 6

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $5000000 (Low: $2000000, High: $8000000)

Year 2: $4000000 (Low: $1500000, High: $7000000)

Year 3: $3000000 (Low: $1000000, High: $6000000)

Year 5: $3000000 (Low: $1000000, High: $5000000)

Year 10: $3000000 (Low: $500000, High: $4000000)

Year 100: $2000000 (Low: $100000, High: $3000000)

Key Considerations