Policy Impact Analysis - 117/S/4773

Bill Overview

Title: FISH Act of 2022

Description: FISH Act of 2022 This bill addresses illegal, unreported, and unregulated fishing (IUU fishing). For example, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration must establish, publish, and put vessels on a U.S. black list that denies port privileges, certain travel through, delivery of supplies, delivery of services, or transshipment in the exclusive economic zone for vessels that have conducted IUU fishing and vessels that have the same owner as a vessel on the black list. The President shall impose sanctions with respect to each foreign person that the President determines is the beneficial owner of a vessel on the black list. Further, the U.S. Coast Guard must (1) increase its observation and boarding of vessels on the high seas that are suspected of IUU fishing, and (2) coordinate with regional fisheries management organizations to determine what corrective measures each nation has taken after its vessels have been boarded for suspected IUU fishing.

Sponsors: Sen. Sullivan, Dan [R-AK]

Target Audience

Population: People dependent on marine resources impacted by IUU fishing

Estimated Size: 5000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Commercial Fisherman (Alaska)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy could help sustain fish stocks, which is crucial for my business.
  • I'm concerned about how quickly these measures will take effect and if they'll truly rein in IUU fishing.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 8 5
Year 3 8 5
Year 5 9 4
Year 10 9 3
Year 20 9 2

Coast Guard Officer (California)

Age: 30 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The increased patrolling responsibilities are challenging but necessary.
  • FISH Act could help protect marine environments better, which is close to my personal interests.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 7 5

Seafood Distributor (New York)

Age: 52 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This act might initially disrupt supply chains.
  • Long term, it's a good move for sustainability and market stability.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 8 4
Year 20 8 3

Marine Biologist (Florida)

Age: 39 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy is a significant step in preserving marine biodiversity.
  • It aligns with the global fight against IUU fishing.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 9 6
Year 10 9 5
Year 20 9 4

Recreational Angler (Maine)

Age: 27 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm hopeful that this policy helps improve the fish stocks in our waters.
  • Accessibility to certain fishing areas might change, which is concerning.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 4
Year 10 7 4
Year 20 7 3

Seafood Restaurant Owner (Louisiana)

Age: 60 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 8.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • If it works, it helps the credibility and sustainability of the industry.
  • Could face immediate supply disruptions, which worries me.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 7 4
Year 10 8 3
Year 20 8 2

Environmental NGO Worker (Texas)

Age: 50 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The act provides a framework to battle a long-standing issue in marine conservation.
  • We may see initial resistance from certain stakeholders, but it's a necessary change.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 6
Year 2 8 5
Year 3 8 5
Year 5 9 4
Year 10 9 3
Year 20 9 2

College Student (Massachusetts)

Age: 22 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This is a positive step in terms of environmental policy and protection.
  • As a consumer, access and prices might change slightly.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 7 5

Policy Analyst (Washington)

Age: 48 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Effective enforcement will be key to success.
  • May inspire more robust global cooperative efforts on this front.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 9 6
Year 5 9 6
Year 10 9 5
Year 20 9 4

Seafood Retailer (Michigan)

Age: 35 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Initial supply issues might be challenging, but transparency and sustainability could boost consumer trust.
  • Potentially new standards and practices could be beneficial long-term.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 8 4
Year 20 8 3

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $75000000 (Low: $50000000, High: $100000000)

Year 2: $85000000 (Low: $55000000, High: $110000000)

Year 3: $90000000 (Low: $60000000, High: $120000000)

Year 5: $95000000 (Low: $65000000, High: $130000000)

Year 10: $100000000 (Low: $75000000, High: $140000000)

Year 100: $75000000 (Low: $50000000, High: $100000000)

Key Considerations