Policy Impact Analysis - 117/S/4760

Bill Overview

Title: Digital Commodities Consumer Protection Act of 2022

Description: This bill grants exclusive jurisdiction to the Commodity Futures Trading Commission over activity involving digital commodities as specified by the bill. The bill defines digital commodities as fungible digital forms of personal property that can be transferred person-to-person without an intermediary. Excluded from this definition are securities, interests in physical commodities, and U.S.-backed digital currencies. The commission does not have jurisdiction over digital commodities used solely for the purchase or sale of a good or service. Digital commodity platforms (including brokers, custodians, dealers, and trading facilities) must register with the commission and comply with risk management and good governance procedures. The bill also sets forth recordkeeping requirements, conflict of interest standards, and other consumer protections.

Sponsors: Sen. Stabenow, Debbie [D-MI]

Target Audience

Population: Individuals involved in or affected by the digital commodities market

Estimated Size: 30000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Software Engineer (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 32 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I believe this policy will add necessary regulation to an otherwise volatile market.
  • It should make trading more secure, though I am concerned about potential limitations on decentralized finance.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 7 5

Financial Advisor (Austin, TX)

Age: 45 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This regulation could stabilize the market, offering better advice to my clients.
  • Increased oversight could lead to a more trustworthy system.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 9 5
Year 10 9 4
Year 20 8 3

Freelance Artist (Brooklyn, NY)

Age: 28 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I’m worried about how this will affect my ability to trade NFTs and get paid in crypto easily.
  • Regulations might complicate transactions for artists relying on digital commodities.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 5 4
Year 20 4 3

Small Business Owner (Miami, FL)

Age: 52 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 18/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I barely understand this market, so more regulation would help me feel safer using digital currencies in my business.
  • The policy might also increase transaction costs with compliance requirements.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 6 4
Year 5 6 4
Year 10 6 3
Year 20 5 2

Graduate Student (Seattle, WA)

Age: 24 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • As someone studying blockchain, I see regulation as a double-edged sword; it provides safety but might hinder innovation.
  • The policy could steer where funding and new projects will go in the field.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 8
Year 2 7 8
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 9 6
Year 20 8 5

Accountant (Chicago, IL)

Age: 40 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Clearer regulations help me advise clients better, but they also could add administrative burden.
  • Ultimately, this is a much-needed step towards legitimacy.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 8 4
Year 20 7 3

Retired Teacher (Baltimore, MD)

Age: 60 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I work with a mix of excitement and apprehension, hoping this regulation offers more safety for my investments.
  • However, I’m concerned it will complicate how I manage my modest trading activities.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 6 4
Year 5 5 4
Year 10 4 3
Year 20 3 2

IT Consultant (Denver, CO)

Age: 35 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 9

Duration of Impact: 4.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • My clients are worried about new compliance costs, but this policy helps clarify the boundaries for legal operations.
  • Such changes might increase the demand for consultancy, which is good for business.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 9
Year 2 9 8
Year 3 9 8
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 7 5

Journalist (New York, NY)

Age: 30 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 11/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Regulation brings a slew of topics to explore and report on in my field, which is good for my career.
  • It will create challenges to balance views from different stakeholders affected by the policy changes.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 9 7
Year 3 9 6
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 8 4
Year 20 7 3

Digital Platform Developer (Atlanta, GA)

Age: 50 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 6.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I have been expecting more regulations; it could increase the demand for secure trading platforms.
  • However, development costs might rise due to additional compliance requirements.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 7 4
Year 20 6 3

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $50000000 (Low: $40000000, High: $70000000)

Year 2: $55000000 (Low: $45000000, High: $75000000)

Year 3: $60000000 (Low: $50000000, High: $80000000)

Year 5: $70000000 (Low: $60000000, High: $90000000)

Year 10: $100000000 (Low: $80000000, High: $120000000)

Year 100: $500000000 (Low: $300000000, High: $700000000)

Key Considerations