Policy Impact Analysis - 117/S/4722

Bill Overview

Title: American Dream Down Payment Act of 2022

Description: This bill establishes qualified down payment savings programs that allow taxpayers to establish tax-free accounts to save for down payments, including closing costs, on a principal residence. The Department of the Treasury, in coordination with the Securities and Exchange Commission, must report on matters relating to such accounts, including the number of states that have established down payment savings programs and information about beneficiaries of such programs.

Sponsors: Sen. Warnock, Raphael G. [D-GA]

Target Audience

Population: Prospective homebuyers

Estimated Size: 50000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Software Developer (Austin, TX)

Age: 29 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy sounds beneficial as any savings on taxes and increased ability to save for a home is helpful.
  • Austin real estate is expensive, so every bit counts.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 8 8

Teacher (Cleveland, OH)

Age: 34 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I think it's a good step toward making homeownership more accessible, especially for teachers like me.
  • With school loans and childcare expenses, saving is tough.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 7 7

Real Estate Agent (Miami, FL)

Age: 42 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm supportive of measures to help people buy homes, but this policy doesn't impact me directly.
  • My clients could benefit though.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 7 7

Accountant (Salt Lake City, UT)

Age: 55 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This doesn't apply to me now, but if I were younger, it would be appealing.
  • I see the value in encouraging homeownership.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 8 8

Data Analyst (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 30 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • San Francisco is expensive, so this policy could really help.
  • Anything that boosts my savings capability is welcomed.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 8 5
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 7 6

Barista (Chicago, IL)

Age: 26 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 18/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Great for future planning. I'd start saving if I can secure a better job.
  • Currently, home buying seems far off.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 6

Graphic Designer (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 38 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It's a smart policy for people like us looking to get out of renting.
  • LA prices are high, and every bit of savings helps.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 7

Nurse (Dallas, TX)

Age: 60 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 9

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm happy others could get help, but this doesn't affect me.
  • Support for younger folks buying homes is always positive.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 9 9
Year 2 9 9
Year 3 9 9
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 9 9

College Student (Denver, CO)

Age: 22 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 16/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Not ready for home buying yet, but this gives me something to think about.
  • I'll need a higher salary to save enough.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 4
Year 2 5 4
Year 3 5 4
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 6

Small Business Owner (New York City, NY)

Age: 48 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 8.0 years

Commonness: 11/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • NYC requires big savings, so this policy is a good option.
  • I need financial security with my business first.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 7 7

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $400000000 (Low: $300000000, High: $500000000)

Year 2: $420000000 (Low: $320000000, High: $520000000)

Year 3: $440000000 (Low: $330000000, High: $550000000)

Year 5: $470000000 (Low: $350000000, High: $600000000)

Year 10: $500000000 (Low: $370000000, High: $650000000)

Year 100: $550000000 (Low: $400000000, High: $700000000)

Key Considerations