Policy Impact Analysis - 117/S/4709

Bill Overview

Title: Expanding Local Meat Processing Act of 2022

Description: This bill directs the Department of Agriculture to revise its regulations to allow certain packers to hold an ownership interest in, finance, or participate in the management or operation of a market agency selling livestock on a commission basis. The bill applies to packers that have a cumulative slaughter capacity of (1) less than 2,000 animal per day or 700,000 animals per year with respect to cattle or sheep, and (2) less than 10,000 animals per day or 3 million animals per year with respect to hogs.

Sponsors: Sen. Lujan, Ben Ray [D-NM]

Target Audience

Population: People involved in or affected by small to medium livestock farming and meat processing

Estimated Size: 10000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Small Cattle Rancher (Iowa)

Age: 55 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I believe this policy will make it easier for small processors and packers to operate.
  • If more local packers are available, I could get better prices for my livestock.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 7 5

Meat Processing Plant Worker (Nebraska)

Age: 34 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • My job stability depends on how well our plant operates.
  • This policy could mean more stability and possibly better wages if our plant grows.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 7 5

Independent Livestock Trader (Texas)

Age: 42 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • More flexibility in the market could mean better trading opportunities for me.
  • I hope this allows smaller operations to expand, creating more business for traders like myself.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 7 6

Consumer (California)

Age: 30 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I am hopeful this policy might mean more affordable meat options if competition increases.
  • Indirect benefits are good, but I hope local sustainability improves.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 7 6

Large Meat Processing Executive (Illinois)

Age: 47 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Our operations may be pressured by more smaller players entering the market.
  • Regulatory changes could impact our current strategies, but diversification is key.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 8
Year 2 7 8
Year 3 7 8
Year 5 7 8
Year 10 7 8
Year 20 7 7

Sheep Farmer (South Dakota)

Age: 60 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Fewer local processors means less stress selling our sheep.
  • Could mean better price negotiations and less shipping costs.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 8 6

Agricultural Policy Analyst (Georgia)

Age: 29 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy adds new dimensions to local markets; it’s promising.
  • It should stimulate local economies and bring jobs, provided it's managed well.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 9 8
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 8 8

Veterinarian (Montana)

Age: 38 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • More processing options might mean expanded demand for livestock health services.
  • Improved operations can lead to better animal welfare, benefiting the industry as a whole.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 7 7

Environmental Lawyer (Ohio)

Age: 50 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • There are environmental benefits if the policy focuses on sustainable practices.
  • Need to ensure this opportunity for expansion does not compromise environmental standards.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 6

Small Business Owner (Kentucky)

Age: 44 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • More thriving local packers mean more work for my logistics business.
  • I see this policy as a boost for local economies reliant on agriculture.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 8 6

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $10000000 (Low: $8000000, High: $12000000)

Year 2: $9000000 (Low: $7000000, High: $11000000)

Year 3: $9000000 (Low: $7000000, High: $11000000)

Year 5: $8000000 (Low: $6000000, High: $10000000)

Year 10: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 100: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Key Considerations