Policy Impact Analysis - 117/S/4697

Bill Overview

Title: SAFE Risky Research Act

Description: This bill prohibits federally funded research on pathogens of pandemic potential or other dangerous biological agents or toxins if the research is carried out by foreign institutions located in countries of concern.

Sponsors: Sen. Marshall, Roger [R-KS]

Target Audience

Population: People conducting or affected by research on pathogens of pandemic potential

Estimated Size: 12000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Virologist (Boston, MA)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy will disrupt ongoing research, requiring adjustments in how we approach potential pandemic threats.
  • This could slow down research progress and strain international collaborations.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 7 8
Year 5 8 9
Year 10 9 9
Year 20 9 10

Epidemiologist (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 38 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 1.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • My work on vaccine development is largely independent of collaborations with countries of concern, so I expect minimal impact.
  • However, the general research climate might become more cautious.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 7 8

Postdoctoral Researcher (New York, NY)

Age: 29 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy could severely limit my current project scope, affecting future career opportunities.
  • It's frustrating to see political decisions impacting scientific progress.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 7
Year 3 6 7
Year 5 7 8
Year 10 8 9
Year 20 8 9

Biological Research Policy Maker (Detroit, MI)

Age: 54 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • While the policy addresses necessary security considerations, it complicates research partnerships.
  • Striking a balance between security and scientific advancement is crucial.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 8
Year 2 7 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

Biotech CEO (Seattle, WA)

Age: 36 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 9

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy has little effect on business since our work is domestic.
  • It’s understandable but may limit future growth prospects in certain international markets.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 9 9
Year 2 9 9
Year 3 9 9
Year 5 9 9
Year 10 9 9
Year 20 9 9

University Dean (Houston, TX)

Age: 42 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy requires restructuring grant applications and collaborations.
  • Ensuring compliance will increase administrative workload.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 8
Year 2 7 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 9 9

Research Scientist (Miami, FL)

Age: 31 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy might hinder some international collaborative efforts, affecting the breadth of my work.
  • Security is important, but open communication in research should be preserved.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 7 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 9
Year 20 8 9

Chief Security Officer (Chicago, IL)

Age: 47 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I view the policy positively as it aligns with national security interests.
  • Research should prioritize safety, especially when dealing with pathogens.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

Retired Epidemiologist (Raleigh, NC)

Age: 65 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 9

Duration of Impact: 1.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I see the necessity for such policies, having worked in the sector for decades.
  • However, unintended consequences on research progress remain a concern.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 9
Year 2 8 9
Year 3 8 9
Year 5 8 9
Year 10 8 9
Year 20 8 9

Graduate Student (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 26 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy could shift the aims of my research program.
  • There is uncertainty about future funding and opportunities for international collaboration.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 7 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 9
Year 20 8 9

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $7000000 (Low: $5000000, High: $9000000)

Year 2: $7100000 (Low: $5100000, High: $9100000)

Year 3: $7200000 (Low: $5200000, High: $9200000)

Year 5: $7400000 (Low: $5400000, High: $9400000)

Year 10: $7800000 (Low: $5800000, High: $9800000)

Year 100: $8800000 (Low: $6800000, High: $10800000)

Key Considerations