Policy Impact Analysis - 117/S/4693

Bill Overview

Title: National Discovery Trails Act

Description: This bill amends the National Trails System Act to include national discovery trails as part of the national trails system. Such trails (1) shall be extended, continuous, interstate trails located to provide for outstanding outdoor recreation and travel and to connect representative examples of America's trails and communities; (2) shall provide for the conservation and enjoyment of significant natural, cultural, and historic resources and be so located as to represent metropolitan, urban, rural, and back country regions of the Nation; and (3) may be designated on federal lands and, with the owner's consent, on nonfederal lands. The 6,000-mile American Discovery Trail extending from Cape Henlopen State Park in Delaware, to Point Reyes National Seashore in California, splitting into northern and southern routes near Cincinnati, Ohio, and rejoining at Denver, Colorado, is designated as a national discovery trail. The bill sets forth requirements for designation of a trail as a national discovery trail. The appropriate federal department for each national discovery trail shall (1) administer the trail in cooperation with at least one competent trailwide volunteer-based organization; and (2) submit a comprehensive plan for the trail's protection, management, development, and use.

Sponsors: Sen. Coons, Christopher A. [D-DE]

Target Audience

Population: People who engage in outdoor recreational activities or live near national discovery trails

Estimated Size: 5000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Outdoor Guide (Denver, Colorado)

Age: 30 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I think the National Discovery Trails will provide great benefits to local businesses as more tourists visit.
  • As a guide, I am excited by the prospect of having more trails to explore and lead tours on.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 9 7

Small Business Owner (Cincinnati, Ohio)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Hopefully, this will bring more foot traffic to my business and the area.
  • I worry a bit about the costs associated with renovating to cater to new customers.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 7 6

Retired (San Francisco, California)

Age: 60 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm thrilled that the trails will protect our natural heritage and promote healthy outdoor activity.
  • It's vital that we balance increased usage with preserving the environment.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 9 8
Year 5 9 8
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 9 8

College Student (Delaware)

Age: 25 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 4.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This could be a cool way to encourage more people my age to explore the outdoors.
  • The educational opportunities for learning about natural conservation right at our doorstep is exciting.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

Park Ranger (Point Reyes, California)

Age: 50 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This new designation will undoubtedly increase visitor numbers, which is a double-edged sword for conservation and park management.
  • Overall, I believe it will help raise awareness about the importance of natural conservation.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 6

Farmer (Rural Illinois)

Age: 40 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 2/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm concerned about privacy and land rights with trails running so close to my property.
  • However, it might also bring more people to value rural lands and lifestyles.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 5 5

Historian (Kansas City, Missouri)

Age: 38 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I see great potential in educating the public on the historical significance of sites along these trails.
  • The challenge lies in creating engaging and informative experiences for both locals and tourists.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 7

Wildlife Conservationist (Backcountry Colorado)

Age: 55 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 8.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • While I support initiatives that connect people with nature, I'm wary of the impacts increased human activity could have on local wildlife.
  • Careful management will be necessary to balance usage and preservation.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 6 5

Urban Planner (Philadelphia, Pennsylvania)

Age: 29 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Integrating national trails into urban planning is a crucial step for sustainable development.
  • It's a great opportunity for cities like ours to enhance cultural and recreational offerings.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 8 6

Software Engineer (Columbus, Ohio)

Age: 34 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 4.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It sounds like a fantastic way to get more people interested in the outdoors.
  • I'm eager to see how technology can be used to enhance these experiences.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 7

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $20000000 (Low: $15000000, High: $25000000)

Year 2: $18000000 (Low: $14000000, High: $22000000)

Year 3: $15000000 (Low: $12000000, High: $18000000)

Year 5: $12000000 (Low: $10000000, High: $14000000)

Year 10: $10000000 (Low: $8000000, High: $12000000)

Year 100: $5000000 (Low: $4000000, High: $6000000)

Key Considerations