Policy Impact Analysis - 117/S/4680

Bill Overview

Title: Rare Earth Magnet Manufacturing Production Tax Credit Act of 2022

Description: This bill allows a new tax credit for the domestic production of rare earth magnets manufactured in the ordinary course of a taxpayer's trade or business. The bill defines rare earth magnet as a permanent magnet comprised of (1) an alloy of neodymium, iron, and boron, which may also include praseodymium, terbium, or dysprosium; or (2) an alloy of samarium and cobalt, which may also include gadolinium or any associated host mineral of a component rare earth material.

Sponsors: Sen. Cortez Masto, Catherine [D-NV]

Target Audience

Population: People involved in or reliant on rare earth magnet manufacturing and industries using such magnets

Estimated Size: 500000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Automotive Engineer (Detroit, Michigan)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The tax credit could help us reduce costs in component production.
  • Hopefully, this leads to increased innovation and lower prices for consumers.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 6

Supply Chain Manager (San Jose, California)

Age: 30 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policies seem promising but their actual impact on my job depends on how the supply chain adjusts.
  • Margins might improve if domestic production stabilizes costs.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 7 5

Factory Worker (Birmingham, Alabama)

Age: 55 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I welcome any policy that keeps jobs like mine here in the US.
  • It may mean better job security and possibly higher wages.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 9 5
Year 20 9 4

Renewable Energy Scientist (Houston, Texas)

Age: 29 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • More domestic production could mean better access to materials for research.
  • I'm optimistic about the long-term benefits to my field.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 8 7

Steelworker (Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania)

Age: 42 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I don't see how this policy affects me directly, but anything that boosts manufacturing is good.
  • Perhaps there are new opportunities if connected industries grow.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 5 5

Graduate Student (Rochester, New York)

Age: 24 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This is quite exciting for research opportunities in material sciences.
  • Domestic manufacturing boosts confidence in the future of my studies.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 9 6
Year 20 9 6

Financial Analyst (Phoenix, Arizona)

Age: 38 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 11/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • If firms utilize these tax credits effectively, we might see a boost in tech stocks.
  • The long-term impacts really depend on broader economic trends.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 8 5

Small Business Owner (Chicago, Illinois)

Age: 50 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Tax incentives really help small businesses like mine stay competitive.
  • It could allow us to invest in new technologies and expand.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 7 6

Electronics Retail Manager (New York, New York)

Age: 34 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 13/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Lower production costs might mean better prices for my inventory.
  • Interested to see how this influences consumer demand.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 6

Policy Analyst (Raleigh, North Carolina)

Age: 40 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy should strengthen domestic manufacturing sectors in the US.
  • It's a positive move towards reducing external dependencies.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 9 7

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $400000000 (Low: $350000000, High: $450000000)

Year 2: $420000000 (Low: $370000000, High: $460000000)

Year 3: $440000000 (Low: $390000000, High: $480000000)

Year 5: $480000000 (Low: $430000000, High: $530000000)

Year 10: $540000000 (Low: $490000000, High: $590000000)

Year 100: $500000000 (Low: $450000000, High: $550000000)

Key Considerations