Policy Impact Analysis - 117/S/4672

Bill Overview

Title: Emergency Aircraft Act of 2022

Description: This bill modifies the authority of the Department of Defense (DOD) related to the transfer of excess aircraft for wildfire emergencies, including to authorize DOD to transfer excess aircraft to a state for wildfire suppression, search and rescue, or emergency operations pertaining to wildfires.

Sponsors: Sen. Padilla, Alex [D-CA]

Target Audience

Population: People living in wildfire-prone areas

Estimated Size: 10000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Firefighter (California)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy could significantly improve our ability to respond to wildfires.
  • Quick access to better aerial support would help us manage wildfires more effectively.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 9 7

Emergency Response Coordinator (Oregon)

Age: 32 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I believe this policy can streamline resource allocation during emergencies.
  • Access to military aircraft can enhance our existing response strategies.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 9 6
Year 20 9 6

Retired (Arizona)

Age: 60 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This seems like a step in the right direction, but it needs proper execution.
  • I hope the transfer process is expedited to see immediate benefits.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 7 5

Wildlife Biologist (Washington)

Age: 28 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Increased aircraft support will help protect natural habitats during wildfires.
  • I'm hopeful this will reduce the long-term ecological impact of wildfires.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 9 7

Insurance Agent (Colorado)

Age: 50 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 2/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy could reduce insurance claims and damage, leading to stable premiums.
  • I foresee a positive impact on the community's economic health.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 8 6

Elementary School Teacher (California)

Age: 40 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy might provide peace of mind knowing there's better emergency response.
  • Safety during fire seasons is a huge concern for me and my students.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 8 6

Rancher (Arizona)

Age: 55 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Access to surplus aircraft might save my ranch and livelihood.
  • I am cautiously optimistic but need to see it in action.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 8 6

Pilot (California)

Age: 38 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy aligns well with our ongoing training and readiness programs.
  • Additional resources are always welcome to tackle the increasing frequency of wildfires.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 9 7
Year 5 9 8
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 10 8

Volunteer (Oregon)

Age: 29 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • With the right resources, community preparedness will improve.
  • I'm concerned about the state's ability to effectively utilize these aircraft.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 8 6

Forest Ranger (Washington)

Age: 34 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Having military-grade support will help preserve our forests.
  • If executed properly, it could make a huge difference during fire seasons.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 9 7

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $50000000 (Low: $40000000, High: $60000000)

Year 2: $52000000 (Low: $42000000, High: $62000000)

Year 3: $53000000 (Low: $43000000, High: $63000000)

Year 5: $55000000 (Low: $45000000, High: $65000000)

Year 10: $60000000 (Low: $50000000, High: $70000000)

Year 100: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Key Considerations