Policy Impact Analysis - 117/S/4642

Bill Overview

Title: Comprehensive Southern Border Strategy Act

Description: This bill requires the Department of Homeland Security to report to Congress a comprehensive southern border strategy. The strategy must include (1) an overview of current security risks along the southern border; and (2) an assessment of the barriers, technologies, and tools that are necessary to achieve and maintain situational awareness and operational control of the border.

Sponsors: Sen. Tillis, Thomas [R-NC]

Target Audience

Population: Individuals affected by US southern border strategy

Estimated Size: 35000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Customs and Border Protection Officer (San Diego, CA)

Age: 45 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I understand the need for increased security, but I am worried about how it will affect my job and safety.
  • New technology could be beneficial, but it may also lead to job cuts or reassignment.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 8 6

College Student (El Paso, TX)

Age: 23 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Policies like these impact my community the most, often negatively.
  • I'm concerned it might criminalize immigrant families rather than improve safety.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 7
Year 2 5 7
Year 3 5 7
Year 5 4 7
Year 10 4 6
Year 20 3 6

Retired Sheriff (Tucson, AZ)

Age: 60 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 13/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I think a comprehensive strategy is overdue, but I worry about how thorough it can be with limited budget.
  • Safety is my priority, but it shouldn't come at the cost of community trust.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 8
Year 2 7 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

Primary School Teacher (Brownsville, TX)

Age: 30 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I hope it brings more resources to rough parts of town where my students live.
  • I'm anxious it might lead to more tension in our close-knit border community.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Advocate for Immigrant Rights (Central Valley, CA)

Age: 40 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 11/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Any policy focusing on increased security without addressing underlying immigration issues is incomplete.
  • I'm worried about the fear it instills in the communities I serve.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 5
Year 2 4 5
Year 3 3 5
Year 5 3 5
Year 10 2 5
Year 20 2 5

Tech Company Analyst (Houston, TX)

Age: 32 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 13/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • If implemented smartly, technology can help without compromising freedoms.
  • Skeptical about the actual implementation of these strategies.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 8 6

Farmer (Yuma, AZ)

Age: 55 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I hope security measures won't interfere with my farming operations.
  • Any disruptions could be economically harmful.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

Documentary Filmmaker (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 28 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Concerned about human rights implications of the policy.
  • May use this narrative in future projects.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 5 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 7 6

Community Organizer (Nogales, AZ)

Age: 67 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 9

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm concerned it might draw resources away from essential services.
  • I still believe community strength is key to safety.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 9
Year 2 8 9
Year 3 8 9
Year 5 8 9
Year 10 8 9
Year 20 9 9

Software Developer (San Antonio, TX)

Age: 34 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 8.0 years

Commonness: 16/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Curious about tech solutions proposed by this policy.
  • Worried about privacy implications.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 8
Year 2 7 8
Year 3 7 8
Year 5 7 8
Year 10 7 8
Year 20 7 8

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $10000000 (Low: $7500000, High: $15000000)

Year 2: $8000000 (Low: $6000000, High: $12000000)

Year 3: $5000000 (Low: $4000000, High: $8000000)

Year 5: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 10: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 100: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Key Considerations