Policy Impact Analysis - 117/S/4637

Bill Overview

Title: Asylum Integrity Act

Description: This bill establishes under statute a framework for determining whether an asylum seeker has filed a frivolous application. Under this bill, an asylum application shall be considered frivolous if the application was knowingly filed and (1) includes a fabricated material element, (2) is premised on false or fabricated evidence, (3) was filed without regard to the merits of the claims, or (4) is clearly foreclosed by law. (Currently, regulations provide for a similar, but not identical, framework for asylum applications filed on or after January 11, 2021.)

Sponsors: Sen. Tillis, Thomas [R-NC]

Target Audience

Population: Individuals seeking asylum.

Estimated Size: 100000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Asylum Seeker (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 32 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I hope this makes the process faster, but I'm worried about being judged unfairly.
  • It feels like another hurdle, but I have no choice.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 4
Year 2 5 4
Year 3 6 4
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 8 7

Immigration Lawyer (El Paso, TX)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Clarifying the law is good, but it might deter some genuine cases.
  • I'm concerned about increased bureaucratic obstacles for my clients.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 5 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 7 6

Asylum Seeker (Miami, FL)

Age: 28 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 3

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I am nervous about proving my case, but I understand why it's done.
  • There's an anxiety of being rejected without a fair chance.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 3
Year 2 4 3
Year 3 5 4
Year 5 5 4
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 7 6

Asylum Interview Officer (New York, NY)

Age: 37 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This will help in filtering out cases and focusing on those who really need protection.
  • Greater clarity aids in decision-making, but it might initially slow down due to adjustments.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 9 8

Community Activist (Boston, MA)

Age: 25 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 7.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm worried that asylum seekers won't understand the implications and their rights under this policy.
  • It could deter unjustly those who sincerely need help.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 5 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 8 7

Business Owner (Phoenix, AZ)

Age: 52 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I hope this brings more order to the system without creating fear among employees.
  • Stable policy is good for business predictions, but abrupt changes can disrupt.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 8 8

Social Worker (Chicago, IL)

Age: 31 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 4.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm hopeful it will reduce the stress on the system and provide more targeted aid.
  • Concerns that it could initially lead to more uncertainties and stress for clients.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 8

Public Policy Analyst (Houston, TX)

Age: 40 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Legislating existing practices could streamline operations, but enforcement is key.
  • The fear is that it could limit legitimate cases being heard thoroughly.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 8 7

Asylum Seeker (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 29 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy could make things harder for people genuinely seeking safety.
  • It might increase the time I have to wait to reunite with my family.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 4
Year 2 5 4
Year 3 5 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 7 7

Federal Immigration Judge (Washington, DC)

Age: 55 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I welcome the statutory clarity, though it may require initial adaptations.
  • Balancing speed with justice is always challenging, but necessary.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 9 8

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $300000000 (Low: $250000000, High: $350000000)

Year 2: $290000000 (Low: $240000000, High: $340000000)

Year 3: $280000000 (Low: $230000000, High: $330000000)

Year 5: $260000000 (Low: $210000000, High: $310000000)

Year 10: $230000000 (Low: $180000000, High: $280000000)

Year 100: $100000000 (Low: $50000000, High: $150000000)

Key Considerations