Policy Impact Analysis - 117/S/4636

Bill Overview

Title: Asylum Accountability Act

Description: This bill permanently bars a non-U.S. national ( alien under federal law) from receiving certain immigration-related relief if that individual is ordered removed from the United States after failing to appear at a removal proceeding, unless that failure to appear is due to exceptional circumstances. (Currently, this bar from relief is for 10 years.) Under this bill, such an individual shall be permanently barred from receiving discretionary relief under specified immigration provisions, such as (1) cancellation of removal and adjustment to lawful permanent resident status, (2) being allowed to voluntarily depart from the United States, or (3) being allowed to change from one nonimmigrant classification to another.

Sponsors: Sen. Tillis, Thomas [R-NC]

Target Audience

Population: Non-U.S. nationals involved in U.S. removal proceedings

Estimated Size: 50000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Factory Worker (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 35 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I am scared of missing my court date because I could lose everything.
  • This new law makes it harder for people like me to try again in case something happens beyond our control.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 5
Year 2 4 5
Year 3 3 5
Year 5 3 5
Year 10 3 4
Year 20 3 4

Waitress (Houston, TX)

Age: 28 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This law is too harsh. People miss court for legitimate reasons sometimes.
  • I need more flexibility, not less, because I'm trying to provide for my kids.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 3 5
Year 2 3 5
Year 3 2 5
Year 5 2 5
Year 10 2 5
Year 20 1 4

Student (New York City, NY)

Age: 19 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It's like putting us on a permanent punishment row.
  • I want to finish my education and contribute.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 5 6
Year 5 5 6
Year 10 5 6
Year 20 4 5

Self-employed (Miami, FL)

Age: 45 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The law ignores the realities we face.
  • I fear for my family's future with permanent bans.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 5
Year 2 3 5
Year 3 3 5
Year 5 3 5
Year 10 2 5
Year 20 2 4

Construction Worker (Chicago, IL)

Age: 30 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Many of us lose paperwork due to fear and displacement; this rule is too unforgiving.
  • An opportunity missed can mean my family suffers endlessly.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 2 4
Year 2 2 4
Year 3 1 4
Year 5 1 3
Year 10 1 3
Year 20 1 2

Caregiver (Seattle, WA)

Age: 39 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • My family's lives are precarious due to this.
  • The permanent bar is too extreme.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 5
Year 2 4 5
Year 3 3 4
Year 5 3 4
Year 10 2 4
Year 20 2 3

Landscaper (Phoenix, AZ)

Age: 52 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 3

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Complexities in the system make it easy to miss important dates; this law is too punishing.
  • It makes me anxious about what will happen if I miss a letter or message.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 1 3
Year 2 1 3
Year 3 1 3
Year 5 1 3
Year 10 1 2
Year 20 1 2

Domestic Worker (Dallas, TX)

Age: 60 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I've always worried about attending court on time; this makes it more stressful.
  • It's unbearable to be permanently barred with one mistake.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 2 4
Year 2 2 4
Year 3 2 3
Year 5 2 3
Year 10 1 3
Year 20 1 2

Tech Support (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 26 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 1.0 years

Commonness: 13/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This law doesn't affect me directly yet, but it makes me rethink every step of my status.
  • Permanent consequences are too harsh for immutable circumstances.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 5 6
Year 20 5 6

Student (Boston, MA)

Age: 23 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 1.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm here for education, so I'm generally safe, but any hassle impacts my peace of mind.
  • The level of penalty makes me uncomfortable, even though I comply with visa rules.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 8
Year 2 7 8
Year 3 7 8
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 6 7
Year 20 6 7

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $150000000 (Low: $100000000, High: $200000000)

Year 2: $145000000 (Low: $90000000, High: $195000000)

Year 3: $140000000 (Low: $85000000, High: $190000000)

Year 5: $130000000 (Low: $80000000, High: $180000000)

Year 10: $120000000 (Low: $70000000, High: $170000000)

Year 100: $50000000 (Low: $30000000, High: $70000000)

Key Considerations