Policy Impact Analysis - 117/S/4568

Bill Overview

Title: Renewable Natural Gas Incentive Act of 2022

Description: This bill allows a tax credit through 2032 equal to $1 times the number of gallons of renewable natural gas or gasoline gallon equivalent of nonliquid renewable natural gas for use as a fuel in a motor vehicle or motorboat or for use as a fuel in aviation.

Sponsors: Sen. Burr, Richard [R-NC]

Target Audience

Population: People benefiting from increased use of renewable natural gas worldwide

Estimated Size: 70000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Farmer (Texas)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I think it's a great policy. It encourages us to produce more biogas, and having a tax credit will help the farm financially.
  • The incentives make the whole process more viable economically, so we might expand our production in the future.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 9 6
Year 20 6 5

Public Transit Planner (California)

Age: 38 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy provides the necessary push to incorporate more RNG buses into our fleet. It aligns with our sustainability goals.
  • However, the scale might be limited unless further funding or subsidies are introduced.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 9 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 9 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 6 6

Truck Driver (New York)

Age: 50 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I think it sounds good. It could make job conditions better, especially with the rising costs of fuel.
  • If my company shifts to RNG, it could lower costs which might reflect in better wages or stability for us.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 8 5
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 9 6
Year 10 9 5
Year 20 7 5

Retired (Illinois)

Age: 60 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Indirect benefits are hard to see, but any environmental improvement could be advantageous.
  • As a retiree, I'm hoping energy costs will stabilize, which impacts my fixed budget.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 4 4

Environmental Scientist (Florida)

Age: 29 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I appreciate policies that push toward cleaner energy.
  • This could help reduce emissions. However, more action might be needed globally.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 9 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 6 7

Small Business Owner (Michigan)

Age: 55 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • We could definitely benefit from the tax credits since we already use natural gas vehicles.
  • It could lower our operating costs.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 6 5

Airline Pilot (Washington)

Age: 40 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The RNG incentive could push airlines to explore more sustainable fuels, reducing aviation's carbon footprint.
  • However, the cost and practicality need thorough consideration.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 6 6

Environmental Lawyer (Louisiana)

Age: 34 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 4.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Policies like this can drive significant change, but we need rigorous enforcement and monitoring.
  • It's a move in the right direction for cleaner energy.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 5 5

Construction Worker (Ohio)

Age: 42 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 1.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm not sure how much this will affect me directly, but I hope for cleaner air and possible new construction work related to RNG infrastructure.
  • Policies usually take a long time to trickle down.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 5 5
Year 5 5 5
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 5 5

Restaurant Owner (Colorado)

Age: 47 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I think it's great for the farmers I source from. If they can save costs, that might trickle down to me.
  • I'd love to highlight more sustainable practices in my restaurant.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 5 5

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $1500000000 (Low: $1200000000, High: $1800000000)

Year 2: $1550000000 (Low: $1250000000, High: $1850000000)

Year 3: $1600000000 (Low: $1300000000, High: $1900000000)

Year 5: $1700000000 (Low: $1400000000, High: $2000000000)

Year 10: $2000000000 (Low: $1700000000, High: $2300000000)

Year 100: $10000000000 (Low: $8500000000, High: $11500000000)

Key Considerations